Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
60%Arsenal
22%draw
18%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Arsenal at 60%.
- Home advantage: Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
- Safest bet: Arsenal or draw (Double chance), about a 82% chance.
Who will win Arsenal vs Villa?
Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction is 1-0. Arsenal are 60% to win, the draw is 22%, and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 17 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Arsenal, 60%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Arsenal are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Emirates Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Arsenal
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Arsenal clearly ahead, and the draw is only 22%. If Arsenal score first, Villa may struggle to come back.
Helps Arsenal
How many goals in Arsenal vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 82%
Double chance
Arsenal or draw
Wins if Arsenal win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 54%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Arsenal 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
One of the league's best sides. Arsenal should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Emirates Stadium, so the question is whether Villa can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa are a well-coached side that grinds out results on the road at Emirates Stadium, built on a strong midfield.
Match preview
Arsenal host Aston Villa at Emirates Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. Arsenal get a 60% rating from our model, which expects 1.90 goals from Arsenal and 0.93 from Villa. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Arsenal and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Arsenal play 7 days after their game away at Coventry on 10 Apr. Their next league game is away at Bournemouth 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 10 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Coventry 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, was played on Mon, 31 Aug 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 10 AprCoventry vs ArsenalCoventry Building Society Arena
- 10 AprVilla vs BrightonVilla Park
- 17 AprArsenal vs VillaEmirates StadiumThis match
- 24 AprBournemouth vs ArsenalVitality Stadium
- 24 AprVilla vs CoventryVilla Park
More Arsenal and Villa predictions
- 24 AprAFC Bournemouth vs ArsenalPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 01 MayArsenal vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 24 AprAston Villa vs Coventry CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 01 MayCrystal Palace vs Aston VillaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 AprBrentford vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 AprBrighton & Hove Albion vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
Arsenal vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Arsenal vs Villa?
We back Arsenal. Malik Mumbai's model gives Arsenal 60%, the draw 22% and Villa 18%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Arsenal vs Aston Villa in India?
Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Villa?
For a safer bet, Arsenal or draw (82%). For value, total goals: Over 2.5 (54%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Arsenal vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Arsenal favourite hain. Arsenal ka chance 60%, draw 22% aur Villa ka chance 18% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Arsenal vs Aston Villa a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from London and Birmingham.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Villa?
Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Villa?
We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.