Premier League, London derby
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
60%Spurs
23%draw
17%Brentford
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Spurs at 60%.
- Home advantage: Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
- Goals outlook: At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (47% for the over).
- Safest bet: Spurs or draw (Double chance), about a 83% chance.
Who will win Spurs vs Brentford?
Malik Mumbai predicts Tottenham Hotspur to beat Brentford, 1-0. We give Spurs a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23%, and expect about 2.6 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 10 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Spurs, 60%
- Draw
- 23%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Spurs are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.
Helps Spurs
Goals outlook
At 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (47% for the over).
Helps Even
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Spurs vs Brentford?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Spurs vs Brentford
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 83%
Double chance
Spurs or draw
Wins if Spurs win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 74%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 14%
Correct score
Spurs 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Brentford
A steady mid-table team, Brentford defend well on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Brentford to Tottenham Hotspur's Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. As the London derby, it carries extra edge, and derbies are usually tighter than the table suggests. Our goals model expects 1.77 goals from Spurs and 0.80 from Brentford, which is where the 60% rating for Spurs comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Spurs and Brentford: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Spurs play 21 days after their game away at Everton on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is away at Newcastle 7 days after this one. It is game 31 of 38 for them.
Brentford play 21 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. It is game 31 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Gtech Community Stadium, was played on Sat, 22 Aug 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 20 MarEverton vs SpursHill Dickinson Stadium
- 20 MarBrentford vs BournemouthGtech Community Stadium
- 10 AprSpurs vs BrentfordTottenham Hotspur StadiumThis match
- 17 AprNewcastle vs SpursSt James' Park
- 17 AprBrentford vs LeedsGtech Community Stadium
More Spurs and Brentford predictions
- 17 AprNewcastle United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 24 AprTottenham Hotspur vs Hull CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 AprBrentford vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 24 AprBrentford vs FulhamPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 10 AprAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester CityPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 10 AprAston Villa vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 19:30 IST
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Spurs vs Brentford?
Our pick is Tottenham Hotspur. We rate Spurs at 60%, the draw at 23% and Brentford at 17%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford in India?
The game starts at 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 10 Apr 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Spurs vs Brentford?
Our safer bet is Spurs or draw (83%). For more value we like total goals: Under 3.5 (74%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Spurs vs Brentford match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Tottenham Hotspur favourite hain. Spurs ka chance 60%, draw 23% aur Brentford ka chance 17% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Expect a tighter, more physical game with more cards than usual.
What is the score prediction for Spurs vs Brentford?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Our model expects 2.6 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.