Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Aston Villa prediction
We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
31%Everton
25%draw
44%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Villa at 44%.
- Home advantage: Everton have home support, but Villa are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
- Safest bet: Villa or draw (Double chance), about a 69% chance.
Who will win Everton vs Villa?
We back Villa in Everton vs Aston Villa, with a predicted score of 0-1 and a 44% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kick-off: Tue, 05 Jan 2027 at 01:00 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Villa, 44%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Everton have home support, but Villa are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Everton can't afford to concede first.
Helps Villa
How many goals in Everton vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Everton vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 69%
Double chance
Villa or draw
Covers a Villa win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 56%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Villa 0-1
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
A solid mid-table side. Everton are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Away
Aston Villa
A strong, well-drilled team. Villa tend to win games on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Aston Villa to Everton's Hill Dickinson Stadium. We project 1.23 expected goals for Everton against 1.54 for Villa, and that gap drives our 44% rating for Villa. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Everton and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Everton play 4 days after their game away at Leeds on 01 Jan. Their next league game is away at Coventry 11 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
Villa play 3 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 02 Jan, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Man Utd 11 days after this one. It is game 20 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, was played on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 01 JanLeeds vs EvertonElland Road
- 02 JanBournemouth vs VillaVitality Stadium
- 05 JanEverton vs VillaHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
- 16 JanCoventry vs EvertonCoventry Building Society Arena
- 16 JanVilla vs Man UtdVilla Park
More Everton and Villa predictions
- 02 DecAston Villa vs EvertonPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 16 JanCoventry City vs EvertonPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanEverton vs BrentfordPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 16 JanAston Villa vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 23 JanFulham vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 JanArsenal vs BrentfordPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
Everton vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Everton vs Villa?
Our pick is Aston Villa. We rate Everton at 31%, the draw at 25% and Villa at 44%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Everton vs Aston Villa in India?
Tue, 05 Jan 2027, 01:00 IST, next day India time (19:30 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Everton vs Villa?
For a safer bet, Villa or draw (69%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (56%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Everton vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Aston Villa favourite hain. Everton ka chance 31%, draw 25% aur Villa ka chance 44% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Everton vs Villa?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Is Everton vs Aston Villa a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and Birmingham.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Villa?
We rate both teams to score at 56%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.