Premier League 2026/27
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction
0-1 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
35%Bournemouth
26%draw
39%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Villa at 39%.
- Home advantage: Villa are the better side even away from home; Bournemouth's home crowd only narrows the difference.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
- Safest bet: Villa or draw (Double chance), about a 65% chance.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Villa?
Malik Mumbai predicts Aston Villa to beat AFC Bournemouth, 0-1. We give Villa a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.7 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 02 Jan 2027 at 23:00 IST at Vitality Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Villa, 39%
- Draw
- 26%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Villa are the better side even away from home; Bournemouth's home crowd only narrows the difference.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Villa clearly ahead, and the draw is only 26%. If Villa score first, Bournemouth may struggle to come back.
Helps Villa
How many goals in Bournemouth vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Bournemouth vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 65%
Double chance
Villa or draw
Pays out on a Villa win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 55%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Villa 0-1
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Vitality Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.
Away
Aston Villa
A strong, well-drilled team. Villa tend to win games on the road at Vitality Stadium by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Match preview
AFC Bournemouth host Aston Villa at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.31 expected goals for Bournemouth against 1.41 for Villa, and that gap drives our 39% rating for Villa. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Bournemouth and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Bournemouth play 3 days after their game away at Palace on 30 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Brighton 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 19 of 38 for them.
Villa play 3 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 30 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is away at Everton 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 19 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, is on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 30 DecPalace vs BournemouthSelhurst Park
- 30 DecVilla vs LiverpoolVilla Park
- 02 JanBournemouth vs VillaVitality StadiumThis match
- 05 JanBrighton vs BournemouthAmerican Express Stadium
- 05 JanEverton vs VillaHill Dickinson Stadium
More Bournemouth and Villa predictions
- 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 05 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 16 JanAFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich TownPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 JanEverton vs Aston VillaPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 16 JanAston Villa vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 02 JanBrighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 18:00 IST
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Villa?
Our pick is Aston Villa. We rate Bournemouth at 35%, the draw at 26% and Villa at 39%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa in India?
The game starts at 23:00 IST India time on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, which is 17:30 in the UK, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Villa?
Our safer bet is Villa or draw (65%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (55%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Bournemouth vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Aston Villa favourite hain. Bournemouth ka chance 35%, draw 26% aur Villa ka chance 39% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Villa?
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Our model expects 2.7 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.
Is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Bournemouth and Birmingham.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.