Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction
1-2 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
37%Villa
25%draw
38%Liverpool
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-2, with Liverpool at 38%.
- Home advantage: Home advantage helps Villa, but not enough to close the gap to Liverpool.
- Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 54%.
- Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.
Who will win Villa vs Liverpool?
Malik Mumbai predicts Liverpool to beat Aston Villa, 1-2. We give Liverpool a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Wed, 30 Dec 2026 at 01:45 IST, next day at Villa Park.
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Our pick
- Liverpool, 38%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Home advantage helps Villa, but not enough to close the gap to Liverpool.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 54%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Liverpool clearly ahead, and the draw is only 25%. If Liverpool score first, Villa may struggle to come back.
Helps Liverpool
How many goals in Villa vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Villa vs Liverpool
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 63%
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
Wins if Liverpool win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 57%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 57%.
Long shot
Our chance 8%
Correct score
Liverpool 1-2
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
Villa are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at Villa Park, built on a strong midfield.
Away
Liverpool
A title-level side, Liverpool will expect to dominate possession on the road at Villa Park. Villa need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Match preview
Aston Villa host Liverpool at Villa Park in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.41 expected goals for Villa against 1.42 for Liverpool, and that gap drives our 38% rating for Liverpool. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Villa and Liverpool: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Villa play 4 days after their game at home to Leeds on 26 Dec. Their next league game is away at Bournemouth 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.
Liverpool play 4 days after their game away at Hull on 26 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Coventry 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Anfield, is on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 26 DecVilla vs LeedsVilla Park
- 26 DecHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium
- 30 DecVilla vs LiverpoolVilla ParkThis match
- 02 JanLiverpool vs CoventryAnfield
- 02 JanBournemouth vs VillaVitality Stadium
More Villa and Liverpool predictions
- 03 MarLiverpool vs Aston VillaPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 02 JanAFC Bournemouth vs Aston VillaPremier League, 23:00 IST
- 05 JanEverton vs Aston VillaPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 02 JanLiverpool vs Coventry CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolPremier League, 01:45 IST, next day
- 30 DecCoventry City vs BrentfordPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Villa vs Liverpool?
Liverpool, on our numbers: Villa 37%, draw 25%, Liverpool 38%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Aston Villa vs Liverpool in India?
Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 01:45 IST, next day India time (20:15 UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Villa vs Liverpool?
For a safer bet, Liverpool or draw (63%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (57%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Villa vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Villa ka chance 37%, draw 25% aur Liverpool ka chance 38% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-2 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.
Where can I watch Villa vs Liverpool?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Is Aston Villa vs Liverpool a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Birmingham and Liverpool.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.