Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
59%Liverpool
22%draw
19%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Liverpool at 59%.
- Home advantage: Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
- Goals outlook: Expect chances at both ends: our model has 2.9 goals and puts over 2.5 at 56%.
- Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 81% chance.
Who will win Liverpool vs Villa?
Our Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction is 1-0. Liverpool are 59% to win, the draw is 22%, and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. The match kicks off Wed, 03 Mar 2027 at 01:30 IST, next day.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Liverpool, 59%
- Draw
- 22%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
Helps Liverpool
Goals outlook
Expect chances at both ends: our model has 2.9 goals and puts over 2.5 at 56%.
Helps Goals
Quality gap
Our ratings put Liverpool clearly ahead, and the draw is only 22%. If Liverpool score first, Villa may struggle to come back.
Helps Liverpool
How many goals in Liverpool vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Liverpool vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 81%
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
Wins if Liverpool win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 56%
Total goals
Over 2.5
The model expects 2.9 goals, which clears the line more often than not.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Liverpool 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
Liverpool are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball in front of their own fans at Anfield, leaving Villa to defend for long spells.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa are a well-coached side that grinds out results on the road at Anfield, built on a strong midfield.
Match preview
Aston Villa visit Anfield to face Liverpool in the 2026/27 Premier League. Liverpool get a 59% rating from our model, which expects 1.93 goals from Liverpool and 1.00 from Villa. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Liverpool and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Liverpool play 4 days after their game away at Spurs on 27 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Ipswich 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.
Villa play 4 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 27 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Hull 10 days after this one. It is game 28 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, was played on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 27 FebSpurs vs LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 27 FebVilla vs ChelseaVilla Park
- 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfieldThis match
- 13 MarLiverpool vs IpswichAnfield
- 13 MarVilla vs HullVilla Park
More Liverpool and Villa predictions
- 30 DecAston Villa vs LiverpoolPremier League, 01:45 IST, next day
- 13 MarLiverpool vs Ipswich TownPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 13 MarAston Villa vs Hull CityPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 20 MarNottingham Forest vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 03 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
Liverpool vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Liverpool vs Villa?
We back Liverpool. Malik Mumbai's model gives Liverpool 59%, the draw 22% and Villa 19%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Liverpool vs Aston Villa in India?
Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 01:30 IST, next day India time (20:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Villa?
Our safer bet is Liverpool or draw (81%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (56%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Liverpool vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 59%, draw 22% aur Villa ka chance 19% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Villa?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 10%.
Is Liverpool vs Aston Villa a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and Birmingham.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Villa?
We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.