Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
37%Leeds
25%draw
38%Bournemouth
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Bournemouth at 38%.
- Home advantage: Leeds have home support, but Bournemouth are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
- Safest bet: Bournemouth or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.
Who will win Leeds vs Bournemouth?
Our Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction is 0-1. Bournemouth are 38% to win, the draw is 25%, and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sat, 06 Feb 2027 at 20:30 IST.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Bournemouth, 38%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Leeds have home support, but Bournemouth are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Leeds can't afford to concede first.
Helps Bournemouth
How many goals in Leeds vs Bournemouth?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Leeds vs Bournemouth
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 63%
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw
Wins if Bournemouth win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 56%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Bournemouth 0-1
Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
A solid mid-table side. Leeds are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Elland Road, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Away
AFC Bournemouth
A solid mid-table side. Bournemouth are hard to break down on the road at Elland Road, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Match preview
AFC Bournemouth visit Elland Road to face Leeds United in the 2026/27 Premier League. Bournemouth get a 38% rating from our model, which expects 1.38 goals from Leeds and 1.40 from Bournemouth. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Leeds and Bournemouth: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Leeds play 7 days after their game away at Coventry on 30 Jan. Their next league game is away at Everton 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.
Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Fulham on 30 Jan. Their next league game is away at Villa 4 days after this one. It is game 24 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, was played on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.
- 30 JanCoventry vs LeedsCoventry Building Society Arena
- 30 JanBournemouth vs FulhamVitality Stadium
- 06 FebLeeds vs BournemouthElland RoadThis match
- 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
- 10 FebVilla vs BournemouthVilla Park
More Leeds and Bournemouth predictions
- 31 OctAFC Bournemouth vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebEverton vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 20 FebLeeds United vs Aston VillaPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 10 FebAston Villa vs AFC BournemouthPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 20 FebAFC Bournemouth vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 20:30 IST
- 06 FebArsenal vs LiverpoolPremier League, 20:30 IST
Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Leeds vs Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth, on our numbers: Leeds 37%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 38%. The model uses club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth in India?
Kick-off is 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 (15:00 in the UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Leeds vs Bournemouth?
For a safer bet, Bournemouth or draw (63%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (56%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Leeds vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se AFC Bournemouth favourite hain. Leeds ka chance 37%, draw 25% aur Bournemouth ka chance 38% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Leeds and Bournemouth.
What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Bournemouth?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Bournemouth?
We rate both teams to score at 56%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.