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Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Everton prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

43%Sunderland

25%draw

32%Everton

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Sunderland at 43%.
  • Home advantage: Sunderland have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stadium of Light.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Sunderland or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.

Who will win Sunderland vs Everton?

We back Sunderland in Sunderland vs Everton, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 43% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Feb 2027 at 20:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Sunderland, 43%
Draw
25%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Sunderland have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stadium of Light.

    Helps Sunderland

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Everton can't afford to concede first.

    Helps Sunderland

How many goals in Sunderland vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 56%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.50 / 1.28

Best bets for Sunderland vs Everton

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 68%

    Double chance

    Sunderland or draw

    Covers a Sunderland win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.

  2. Value

    Our chance 56%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Sunderland 1-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Stadium of Light, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

Everton

A solid mid-table side. Everton are hard to break down on the road at Stadium of Light, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Match preview

Sunderland host Everton at Stadium of Light in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.50 expected goals for Sunderland against 1.28 for Everton, and that gap drives our 43% rating for Sunderland. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Sunderland and Everton: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Sunderland play 10 days after their game away at Hull on 10 Feb. Their next league game is away at Palace 7 days after this one. It is game 26 of 38 for them.

Everton play 10 days after their game at home to Leeds on 10 Feb. Their next league game is at home to Forest 7 days after this one. It is game 26 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, was played on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  2. 10 FebEverton vs LeedsHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of LightThis match
  4. 27 FebPalace vs SunderlandSelhurst Park
  5. 27 FebEverton vs ForestHill Dickinson Stadium

More Sunderland and Everton predictions

FAQ · 7

Sunderland vs Everton: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Sunderland vs Everton?

Our pick is Sunderland. We rate Sunderland at 43%, the draw at 25% and Everton at 32%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Sunderland vs Everton in India?

The game starts at 20:30 IST India time on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Everton?

For a safer bet, Sunderland or draw (68%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (56%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Sunderland vs Everton match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Sunderland favourite hain. Sunderland ka chance 43%, draw 25% aur Everton ka chance 32% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Everton?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Everton?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Everton?

We rate both teams to score at 56%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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