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Premier League 2026/27

Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction

1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

37%Man Utd

26%draw

37%Liverpool

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Man Utd at 37%.
  • Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Man Utd get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Old Trafford.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Man Utd or draw (Double chance), about a 63% chance.

Who will win Man Utd vs Liverpool?

Malik Mumbai predicts Manchester United to beat Liverpool, 1-0. We give Man Utd a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 23 Jan 2027 at 20:30 IST at Old Trafford.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Man Utd, 37%
Draw
26%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    On top of being the stronger side, Man Utd get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Old Trafford.

    Helps Man Utd

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (52% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Man Utd clearly ahead, and the draw is only 26%. If Man Utd score first, Liverpool may struggle to come back.

    Helps Man Utd

How many goals in Man Utd vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 56%Over 2.5 goals 52%Expected goals 1.39 / 1.38

Best bets for Man Utd vs Liverpool

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 63%

    Double chance

    Man Utd or draw

    Pays out on a Man Utd win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 56%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 9%

    Correct score

    Man Utd 1-0

    Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Manchester United

A strong, well-drilled team. Man Utd tend to win games in front of their own fans at Old Trafford by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.

Away

Liverpool

A title-level side, Liverpool will expect to dominate possession on the road at Old Trafford. Man Utd need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Match preview

Manchester United host Liverpool at Old Trafford in the Premier League 2026/27. Man Utd get a 37% rating from our model, which expects 1.39 goals from Man Utd and 1.38 from Liverpool. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Man Utd and Liverpool: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Man Utd play 7 days after their game away at Villa on 16 Jan. Their next league game is away at Brentford 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Palace on 16 Jan. Their next league game is at home to Everton 7 days after this one. It is game 22 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Anfield, was played on Sun, 22 Nov 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 16 JanVilla vs Man UtdVilla Park
  2. 16 JanLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
  3. 23 JanMan Utd vs LiverpoolOld TraffordThis match
  4. 30 JanBrentford vs Man UtdGtech Community Stadium
  5. 30 JanLiverpool vs EvertonAnfield

More Man Utd and Liverpool predictions

FAQ · 7

Manchester United vs Liverpool: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Man Utd vs Liverpool?

Our pick is Manchester United. We rate Man Utd at 37%, the draw at 26% and Liverpool at 37%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Manchester United vs Liverpool in India?

Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 20:30 IST India time (15:00 UK), at Old Trafford in Manchester. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Man Utd vs Liverpool?

For a safer bet, Man Utd or draw (63%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (56%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Man Utd vs Liverpool match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Manchester United favourite hain. Man Utd ka chance 37%, draw 26% aur Liverpool ka chance 37% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Manchester United vs Liverpool a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Manchester and Liverpool.

What is the score prediction for Man Utd vs Liverpool?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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