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Premier League 2026/27

Everton vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

42%Everton

26%draw

32%Bournemouth

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Everton at 42%.
  • Home advantage: Everton have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (50% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Everton or draw (Double chance), about a 68% chance.

Who will win Everton vs Bournemouth?

Malik Mumbai predicts Everton to beat AFC Bournemouth, 1-0. We give Everton a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26%, and expect about 2.7 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 17 Apr 2027 at 19:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Everton, 42%
Draw
26%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Everton have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

    Helps Everton

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (50% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Everton clearly ahead, and the draw is only 26%. If Everton score first, Bournemouth may struggle to come back.

    Helps Everton

How many goals in Everton vs Bournemouth?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 50%Expected goals 1.44 / 1.24

Best bets for Everton vs Bournemouth

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 68%

    Double chance

    Everton or draw

    Wins if Everton win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 72%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Everton 1-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Everton

Everton are tough to score against in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, though they don't create a great deal themselves.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

A steady mid-table team, Bournemouth defend well on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings AFC Bournemouth to Everton's Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton get a 42% rating from our model, which expects 1.44 goals from Everton and 1.24 from Bournemouth. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.

Everton and Bournemouth: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 10 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Brighton 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.

Bournemouth play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 10 Apr. Their next league game is at home to Arsenal 7 days after this one. It is game 32 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Vitality Stadium, was played on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, so this is the second meeting of the season.

  1. 10 AprPalace vs EvertonSelhurst Park
  2. 10 AprBournemouth vs Man CityVitality Stadium
  3. 17 AprEverton vs BournemouthHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
  4. 24 AprEverton vs BrightonHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 24 AprBournemouth vs ArsenalVitality Stadium

More Everton and Bournemouth predictions

FAQ · 7

Everton vs AFC Bournemouth: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Everton vs Bournemouth?

Our pick is Everton. We rate Everton at 42%, the draw at 26% and Bournemouth at 32%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Everton vs AFC Bournemouth in India?

The game starts at 19:30 IST India time on Sat, 17 Apr 2027, which is 15:00 in the UK, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Bournemouth?

For a safer bet, Everton or draw (68%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (72%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.

Everton vs Bournemouth match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Everton favourite hain. Everton ka chance 42%, draw 26% aur Bournemouth ka chance 32% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Everton vs AFC Bournemouth a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and Bournemouth.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Bournemouth?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 50%.

How many goals will there be in Everton vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our model expects 2.7 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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