West Indies tour of India, 2026, match 6 of 8
India vs West Indies 3rd T20I prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
65%India
35%West Indies
Quick overview
- Our pick: India to win, a 65% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Holkar Stadium: A fair contest between bat and ball, so phase scores should sit close to the format average.
- Series momentum: With 2 matches left after this one, India can put real pressure on with a win here.
- Safest bet: India (Match winner), about a 65% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the IND vs WI 3rd T20I?
India are our pick for the IND vs WI 3rd T20I, at 65%. Expect India to score about 204 and West Indies about 179, with conditions at Holkar Stadium helping neither side. First ball is Sun, 11 Oct 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- India, 65%
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Holkar Stadium
A fair contest between bat and ball, so phase scores should sit close to the format average. The conditions don't favour either side.
Helps Even
Series momentum
With 2 matches left after this one, India can put real pressure on with a win here.
Helps India
The toss
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Helps Even
What will India and West Indies score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Holkar Stadium.
India West Indies
- Powerplay (0-6)
- IND54-64WI45-53
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- IND71-83WI67-79
- Death Overs (16-20)
- IND62-74WI50-64
First-innings scoreIND 187-221/WI 162-196
Best bets for IND vs WI
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 65%
Match winner
India
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 56%
India first-innings score
Over 193.5 runs
We project India around 204. A line near 193.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 22%
Top batter
Rohit Sharma (India)
Best finisher in the side. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.
Who can swing India vs West Indies?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- Jasprit BumrahOur pick for overs 17-2083impact
- Rohit SharmaBest finisher in the side80impact
West Indies
- Jason HolderUseful with bat and ball81impact
- Rovman PowellBest finisher in the side95impact
Match preview
This is match 6 of 8 in West Indies tour of India, 2026. India know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. The 65% rating for India comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Holkar Stadium and a balanced / dry surface. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.
The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Where the 3rd T20I fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in West Indies tour of India, 2026.
The 3rd T20I is match 6 of 8, played at Holkar Stadium in Indore on Sun, 11 Oct 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 2nd T20I at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi, so both squads travel to Indore in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 4th T20I is 3 days after this one at Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Hyderabad.
- 08 Oct2nd T20I: India vs West IndiesJSCA International Stadium Complex
- 11 Oct3rd T20I: India vs West IndiesHolkar StadiumThis match
- 14 Oct4th T20I: India vs West IndiesRajiv Gandhi International Stadium
More cricket predictions
IND vs WI 3rd T20I: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win India vs West Indies?
India, at 65% on our model, with West Indies given 35%. Team strength, home advantage and a balanced / dry pitch at Holkar Stadium all feed into that rating.
What time does the IND vs WI 3rd T20I start in India?
First ball is due Sun, 11 Oct 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at Holkar Stadium, Indore. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for IND vs WI?
For a safer bet, back India (65%). For more value, try india first-innings score over 193.5 runs (56%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Indore?
It should help neither side: we class the surface as balanced / dry for this T20I, with India projected at 187-221 and West Indies at 162-196.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in IND vs WI?
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What happens if it rains during India vs West Indies?
If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Indore on the day.
India vs West Indies match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se India favourite hain, 65% chance ke saath, aur West Indies ka chance 35% hai. Match Sun, 11 Oct 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Indore ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Which players should I watch in India vs West Indies?
Jasprit Bumrah for India (our pick for overs 17-20) and Jason Holder for West Indies (useful with bat and ball). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.