West Indies tour of India, 2026, match 8 of 8
India vs West Indies 5th T20I prediction
Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.
70%India
30%West Indies
Quick overview
- Our pick: India to win, a 70% chance in our model.
- Conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium: An even surface with something for everyone.
- Series momentum: 0 games remain after this, so a win would give India the upper hand in the series.
- Safest bet: India (Match winner), about a 70% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the IND vs WI 5th T20I?
India are our pick for the IND vs WI 5th T20I, at 70%. Expect India to score about 202 and West Indies about 183, with conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium helping neither side. First ball is Sat, 17 Oct 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- India, 70%
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium
An even surface with something for everyone. Phase scores should land close to the format norm. Neither attack gets special help here.
Helps Even
Series momentum
0 games remain after this, so a win would give India the upper hand in the series.
Helps India
Batting depth
India should outscore their opponents by roughly 19 runs on our numbers, a solid buffer over a T20I.
Helps India
What will India and West Indies score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium.
India West Indies
- Powerplay (0-6)
- IND52-60WI45-53
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- IND71-83WI69-81
- Death Overs (16-20)
- IND62-76WI52-66
First-innings scoreIND 185-219/WI 166-200
Best bets for IND vs WI
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 70%
Match winner
India
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 62%
India first-innings score
Over 191.5 runs
We project India around 202. A line near 191.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 30%
Match winner
West Indies
An upset needs a big day from someone like Andre Russell. Possible, but not likely.
Who can swing India vs West Indies?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- Jasprit BumrahOur pick for overs 17-2088impact
- Hardik PandyaUseful with bat and ball90impact
West Indies
- Andre RussellUseful with bat and ball83impact
- Sherfane RutherfordBest finisher in the side97impact
Match preview
With most of West Indies tour of India, 2026 played, there are few surprises left in either line-up. Home conditions favour India, and our rating includes that edge. We rate India at 70%, weighing team strength, how M. Chinnaswamy Stadium usually plays and a balanced / dry pitch. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
Where the 5th T20I fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in West Indies tour of India, 2026.
The 5th T20I is match 8 of 8, played at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on Sat, 17 Oct 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 4th T20I at Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Hyderabad, so both squads travel to Bengaluru in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
This is the last match of the series, so there is no later game to save players for.
M. Chinnaswamy Stadium hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 2nd ODI: India vs Sri Lanka (16 Dec).
- 14 Oct4th T20I: India vs West IndiesRajiv Gandhi International Stadium
- 17 Oct5th T20I: India vs West IndiesM. Chinnaswamy StadiumThis match
More cricket predictions
IND vs WI 5th T20I: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win India vs West Indies?
India, at 70% on our model, with West Indies given 30%. Team strength, home advantage and a balanced / dry pitch at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium all feed into that rating.
What time does the IND vs WI 5th T20I start in India?
First ball is due Sat, 17 Oct 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for IND vs WI?
For a safer bet, back India (70%). For more value, try india first-innings score over 191.5 runs (62%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Bengaluru?
A balanced / dry pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help neither side. That points to first-innings scores of about 202 for India and 183 for West Indies.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in IND vs WI?
Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What happens if it rains during India vs West Indies?
Rain brings in DLS for a revised target, and too few overs means a no-result. Settlement then follows each site's rules for the market. Look at the forecast for Bengaluru on match day.
India vs West Indies match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se India favourite hain, 70% chance ke saath, aur West Indies ka chance 30% hai. Match Sat, 17 Oct 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Bengaluru ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Is it legal to bet on IND vs WI in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.