Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
50%Liverpool
25%draw
25%Man City
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Liverpool at 50%.
- Home advantage: Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 50%.
- Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 75% chance.
Who will win Liverpool vs Man City?
Malik Mumbai predicts Liverpool to beat Manchester City, 1-0. We give Liverpool a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.7 goals in total. Kick-off is Sun, 11 Oct 2026 at 21:00 IST at Anfield.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Liverpool, 50%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Liverpool have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Anfield.
Helps Liverpool
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 50%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Man City can't afford to concede first.
Helps Liverpool
How many goals in Liverpool vs Man City?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Liverpool vs Man City
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 75%
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
Wins if Liverpool win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 72%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Liverpool 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
One of the league's best sides. Liverpool should have most of the ball in front of their own fans at Anfield, so the question is whether Man City can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Away
Manchester City
A title-level side, Man City will expect to dominate possession on the road at Anfield. Liverpool need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Match preview
Manchester City visit Anfield to face Liverpool in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.62 expected goals for Liverpool against 1.07 for Man City, and that gap drives our 50% rating for Liverpool. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.
Liverpool and Man City: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Liverpool play 21 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 20 Sept, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is away at Brentford 6 days after this one. It is game 6 of 38 for them.
Man City play 21 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 20 Sept, with an international break in between, so match sharpness is a question. Their next league game is at home to Ipswich 6 days after this one. It is game 6 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Etihad Stadium, is on Sat, 08 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 20 SeptBournemouth vs LiverpoolVitality Stadium
- 20 SeptMan City vs SunderlandEtihad Stadium
- 11 OctLiverpool vs Man CityAnfieldThis match
- 17 OctBrentford vs LiverpoolGtech Community Stadium
- 17 OctMan City vs IpswichEtihad Stadium
More Liverpool and Man City predictions
- 08 MayManchester City vs LiverpoolPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 OctBrentford vs LiverpoolPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 25 OctLiverpool vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 17 OctManchester City vs Ipswich TownPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 24 OctAston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier League, 17:00 IST
- 11 OctCrystal Palace vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 18:30 IST
Liverpool vs Manchester City: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Liverpool vs Man City?
Our pick is Liverpool. We rate Liverpool at 50%, the draw at 25% and Man City at 25%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Liverpool vs Manchester City in India?
Kick-off is 21:00 IST India time on Sun, 11 Oct 2026 (16:30 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Man City?
For a safer bet, Liverpool or draw (75%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (72%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Liverpool vs Man City match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 50%, draw 25% aur Man City ka chance 25% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Is Liverpool vs Manchester City a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and Manchester.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Man City?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Man City?
We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.