Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Manchester City prediction
Our predicted score is 2-1. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
40%Newcastle
25%draw
35%Man City
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 2-1, with Newcastle at 40%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 55%, this looks more open than tight.
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 65% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Man City?
Malik Mumbai predicts Newcastle United to beat Manchester City, 2-1. We give Newcastle a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.9 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 26 Dec 2026 at 01:30 IST, next day at St James' Park.
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 40%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 55%, this looks more open than tight.
Helps Goals
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Man City can't afford to concede first.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Man City?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Man City
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 65%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Pays out on a Newcastle win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 58%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 58%.
Long shot
Our chance 9%
Correct score
Newcastle 2-1
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
A strong, well-drilled team. Newcastle tend to win games in front of their own fans at St James' Park by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Away
Manchester City
Man City are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at St James' Park, leaving Newcastle to defend for long spells.
Match preview
Manchester City visit St James' Park to face Newcastle United in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.49 expected goals for Newcastle against 1.38 for Man City, and that gap drives our 40% rating for Newcastle. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Newcastle and Man City: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game away at Brentford on 19 Dec. Their next league game is at home to Forest 4 days after this one. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
Man City play 7 days after their game at home to Hull on 19 Dec. Their next league game is away at Everton 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 17 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Etihad Stadium, is on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 19 DecBrentford vs NewcastleGtech Community Stadium
- 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
- 26 DecNewcastle vs Man CitySt James' ParkThis match
- 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
- 30 DecNewcastle vs ForestSt James' Park
More Newcastle and Man City predictions
- 20 FebManchester City vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 30 DecNewcastle United vs Nottingham ForestPremier League, 01:00 IST, next day
- 03 JanChelsea vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 29 DecEverton vs Manchester CityPremier League, 01:45 IST, next day
- 03 JanManchester City vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 26 DecAston Villa vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 18:00 IST
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Man City?
We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 40%, the draw 25% and Man City 35%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Manchester City in India?
The game starts at 01:30 IST, next day India time on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, which is 20:00 in the UK, at St James' Park, Newcastle. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Man City?
For a safer bet, Newcastle or draw (65%). For value, both teams to score: Yes (58%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Newcastle vs Man City match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 40%, draw 25% aur Man City ka chance 35% hai. Hamara predicted score 2-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Man City?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Man City?
We rate both teams to score at 58%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Man City?
We predict 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.