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Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest prediction

We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

62%Newcastle

22%draw

16%Forest

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 62%.
  • Home advantage: Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.
  • Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
  • Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 84% chance.

Who will win Newcastle vs Forest?

We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 62% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kick-off: Wed, 30 Dec 2026 at 01:00 IST, next day.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Newcastle, 62%
Draw
22%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Newcastle have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at St James' Park.

    Helps Newcastle

  • Goals outlook

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Newcastle are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 22%. An early goal for them would be hard for Forest to overturn.

    Helps Newcastle

How many goals in Newcastle vs Forest?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 50%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.92 / 0.87

Best bets for Newcastle vs Forest

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 84%

    Double chance

    Newcastle or draw

    Wins if Newcastle win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 53%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 12%

    Correct score

    Newcastle 1-0

    The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Newcastle United

Newcastle are a well-coached side that grinds out results in front of their own fans at St James' Park, built on a strong midfield.

Away

Nottingham Forest

A steady mid-table team, Forest defend well on the road at St James' Park but can struggle to turn possession into chances.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Nottingham Forest to Newcastle United's St James' Park. Our goals model expects 1.92 goals from Newcastle and 0.87 from Forest, which is where the 62% rating for Newcastle comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Newcastle and Forest: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Newcastle play 4 days after their game at home to Man City on 26 Dec. Their next league game is away at Chelsea 4 days after this one. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

Forest play 3 days after their game away at Man Utd on 27 Dec, a short turnaround that can show in the last 20 minutes. Their next league game is at home to Fulham 3 days after this one, which may tempt the manager to rotate. It is game 18 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at City Ground, is on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 26 DecNewcastle vs Man CitySt James' Park
  2. 27 DecMan Utd vs ForestOld Trafford
  3. 30 DecNewcastle vs ForestSt James' ParkThis match
  4. 02 JanForest vs FulhamCity Ground
  5. 03 JanChelsea vs NewcastleStamford Bridge

More Newcastle and Forest predictions

FAQ · 7

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Newcastle vs Forest?

We back Newcastle United. Malik Mumbai's model gives Newcastle 62%, the draw 22% and Forest 16%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest in India?

The game starts at 01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, which is 19:30 in the UK, at St James' Park, Newcastle. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.

What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Forest?

Our safer bet is Newcastle or draw (84%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (53%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Newcastle vs Forest match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 62%, draw 22% aur Forest ka chance 16% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Forest?

We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 12%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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