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Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026, match 7 of 8

South Africa vs Bangladesh 2nd T20I prediction

Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Priya Nair, International AnalystUpdated

70%South Africa

30%Bangladesh

Win chances from the Malik Mumbai model. Projected first-innings scores: South Africa 191-221, Bangladesh 149-185.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: South Africa to win, a 70% chance in our model.
  • Conditions at Willowmoore Park: An even surface with something for everyone.
  • Batting depth: South Africa should outscore their opponents by roughly 39 runs on our numbers, a solid buffer over a T20I.
  • Safest bet: South Africa (Match winner), about a 70% chance.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.

Who will win the SA vs BAN 2nd T20I?

Our verdict on South Africa vs Bangladesh: South Africa win, with a 70% chance against 30% for Bangladesh. Willowmoore Park should help neither side, and we project a first-innings score of 191-221 for South Africa and 149-185 for Bangladesh. The 2nd T20I starts Wed, 09 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST.

Our pick
South Africa, 70%
Format
T20 International
Pitch helps
Balanced

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Conditions at Willowmoore Park

    An even surface with something for everyone. Phase scores should land close to the format norm. Neither team gains much from the conditions.

    Helps Even

  • Batting depth

    South Africa should outscore their opponents by roughly 39 runs on our numbers, a solid buffer over a T20I.

    Helps South Africa

  • Series momentum

    A win here would leave South Africa in control, with 1 match still to come.

    Helps South Africa

What will South Africa and Bangladesh score?

How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Willowmoore Park.

South Africa Bangladesh

Powerplay (0-6)
SA54-62
BAN41-51
Middle Overs (7-15)
SA73-83
BAN62-74
Death Overs (16-20)
SA64-76
BAN46-60

First-innings scoreSA 191-221/BAN 149-185

Best bets for SA vs BAN

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 70%

    Match winner

    South Africa

    The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.

  2. Value

    Our chance 59%

    South Africa first-innings score

    Over 197.5 runs

    We project South Africa around 206. A line near 197.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 30%

    Match winner

    Bangladesh

    An upset needs a big day from someone like Mustafizur Rahman. Possible, but not likely.

Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?

Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

South Africa

  • Lungi NgidiOur pick for overs 17-2086impact
  • Marco JansenUseful with bat and ball88impact

Bangladesh

  • Mustafizur RahmanOur pick for overs 17-2082impact
  • Shakib Al HasanUseful with bat and ball84impact

Match preview

By this stage of Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026, both sides know exactly what the other is trying to do. South Africa know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. Our projection gives South Africa a 70% chance, built on team strength, recent scoring at Willowmoore Park and a balanced / dry surface. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Check the playing XIs before you bet.

The toss: Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.

Where the 2nd T20I fits in the series

Rest days, travel and what comes next in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.

The 2nd T20I is match 7 of 8, played at Willowmoore Park in Benoni on Wed, 09 Dec 2026.

It comes 4 days after the 1st T20I at Diamond Oval in Kimberley, so both squads travel to Benoni in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.

Next, the 3rd T20I is 4 days after this one at SuperSport Park in Centurion.

  1. 05 Dec1st T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshDiamond Oval
  2. 09 Dec2nd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshWillowmoore ParkThis match
  3. 13 Dec3rd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshSuperSport Park

More cricket predictions

FAQ · 9

SA vs BAN 2nd T20I: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who is favourite to win South Africa vs Bangladesh?

Our numbers make South Africa the favourites for the 2nd T20I: 70% against 30% for Bangladesh, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Willowmoore Park.

What time does the SA vs BAN 2nd T20I start in India?

The 2nd T20I is scheduled for Wed, 09 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Willowmoore Park, Benoni. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.

What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for SA vs BAN?

Our safer bet is South Africa to win (70%). For better value, we like south africa first-innings score over 197.5 runs (59%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.

What is the pitch like in Benoni?

A balanced / dry pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help neither side. That points to first-innings scores of about 206 for South Africa and 167 for Bangladesh.

Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in SA vs BAN?

Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.

What happens if it rains during South Africa vs Bangladesh?

If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Benoni on the day.

South Africa vs Bangladesh match kaun jitega?

Hamare model mein South Africa aage hain: 70% chance, jabki Bangladesh ka 30% hai. Match Wed, 09 Dec 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Benoni ki pitch report kya hai?

Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.

Is it legal to bet on SA vs BAN in India?

Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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