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Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction

We predict 1-2. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

27%Sunderland

24%draw

49%Chelsea

Predicted score 1-2 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-2, with Chelsea at 49%.
  • Home advantage: Chelsea are the better side even away from home; Sunderland's home crowd only narrows the difference.
  • Goals outlook: With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 56%, this looks more open than tight.
  • Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 73% chance.

Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

We back Chelsea in Sunderland vs Chelsea, with a predicted score of 1-2 and a 49% win chance. The model expects goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.

Predicted score
1-2
Our pick
Chelsea, 49%
Draw
24%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Chelsea are the better side even away from home; Sunderland's home crowd only narrows the difference.

    Helps Even

  • Goals outlook

    With 2.9 expected goals and over 2.5 at 56%, this looks more open than tight.

    Helps Goals

  • Quality gap

    Our ratings put Chelsea clearly ahead, and the draw is only 24%. If Chelsea score first, Sunderland may struggle to come back.

    Helps Chelsea

How many goals in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 58%Over 2.5 goals 56%Expected goals 1.21 / 1.72

Best bets for Sunderland vs Chelsea

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 73%

    Double chance

    Chelsea or draw

    Wins if Chelsea win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.

  2. Value

    Our chance 58%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 58%.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 10%

    Correct score

    Chelsea 1-2

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

A solid mid-table side. Sunderland are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Stadium of Light, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at Stadium of Light, leaving Sunderland to defend for long spells.

Match preview

Sunderland host Chelsea at Stadium of Light in the Premier League 2026/27. We project 1.21 expected goals for Sunderland against 1.72 for Chelsea, and that gap drives our 49% rating for Chelsea. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.

Sunderland and Chelsea: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Sunderland play 8 days after their game away at Coventry on 31 Oct. Their next league game is away at Villa 13 days after this one. It is game 10 of 38 for them.

Chelsea play 8 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 31 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Leeds 13 days after this one. It is game 10 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, is on Sat, 16 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 31 OctChelsea vs Man UtdStamford Bridge
  2. 31 OctCoventry vs SunderlandCoventry Building Society Arena
  3. 08 NovSunderland vs ChelseaStadium of LightThis match
  4. 21 NovVilla vs SunderlandVilla Park
  5. 21 NovChelsea vs LeedsStamford Bridge

More Sunderland and Chelsea predictions

FAQ · 7

Sunderland vs Chelsea: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

We back Chelsea. Malik Mumbai's model gives Sunderland 27%, the draw 24% and Chelsea 49%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.

What time is Sunderland vs Chelsea in India?

Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST India time (14:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Our safer bet is Chelsea or draw (73%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (58%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Sunderland vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Sunderland ka chance 27%, draw 24% aur Chelsea ka chance 49% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-2 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Sunderland vs Chelsea a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Sunderland and London.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

We predict 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

We rate both teams to score at 58%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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