Premier League 2026/27
Everton vs Chelsea prediction
We predict 0-1. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
28%Everton
25%draw
47%Chelsea
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 0-1, with Chelsea at 47%.
- Home advantage: Everton have home support, but Chelsea are strong enough to overcome it.
- Goals outlook: At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
- Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 72% chance.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Malik Mumbai predicts Chelsea to beat Everton, 0-1. We give Chelsea a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25%, and expect about 2.8 goals in total. Kick-off is Sat, 17 Oct 2026 at 17:00 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Our pick
- Chelsea, 47%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Everton have home support, but Chelsea are strong enough to overcome it. Home advantage narrows the gap without closing it.
Helps Even
Goals outlook
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is a near coin flip (53% for the over).
Helps Even
Quality gap
There is a clear gap in quality, and the draw is only 25%. Everton can't afford to concede first.
Helps Chelsea
How many goals in Everton vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Everton vs Chelsea
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 72%
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Pays out on a Chelsea win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.
Value
Our chance 56%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 56%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Chelsea 0-1
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
A solid mid-table side. Everton are hard to break down in front of their own fans at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but chances can be scarce at the other end too.
Away
Chelsea
One of the league's best sides. Chelsea should have most of the ball on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, so the question is whether Everton can stay compact for 90 minutes.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Chelsea to Everton's Hill Dickinson Stadium. We project 1.19 expected goals for Everton against 1.61 for Chelsea, and that gap drives our 47% rating for Chelsea. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Everton and Chelsea: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Everton play 6 days after their game away at Hull on 11 Oct. Their next league game is away at Arsenal 7 days after this one. It is game 7 of 38 for them.
Chelsea play 7 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 10 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. It is game 7 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Stamford Bridge, is on Sat, 15 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on TNT Sports.
- 10 OctChelsea vs BournemouthStamford Bridge
- 11 OctHull vs EvertonMKM Stadium
- 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaHill Dickinson StadiumThis match
- 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
- 24 OctChelsea vs SpursStamford Bridge
More Everton and Chelsea predictions
- 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 02 NovNewcastle United vs EvertonPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 24 OctChelsea vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 22:00 IST
- 31 OctChelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 18:00 IST
- 17 OctBrentford vs LiverpoolPremier League, 19:30 IST
Everton vs Chelsea: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Our pick is Chelsea. We rate Everton at 28%, the draw at 25% and Chelsea at 47%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Everton vs Chelsea in India?
The game starts at 17:00 IST India time on Sat, 17 Oct 2026, which is 12:30 in the UK, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Everton vs Chelsea?
Our safer bet is Chelsea or draw (72%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (56%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Everton vs Chelsea match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Everton ka chance 28%, draw 25% aur Chelsea ka chance 47% hai. Hamara predicted score 0-1 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Everton vs Chelsea?
In the UK it is on TNT Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Chelsea?
We rate both teams to score at 56%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
What is the score prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?
We predict 0-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 12%.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.