Premier League, London derby
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
1-0 is our call. See where the goals come from, what tips the balance and three bets at rising risk.
56%Chelsea
25%draw
19%Spurs
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Chelsea at 56%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Chelsea get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Stamford Bridge.
- Goals outlook: We expect only 2.5 goals. With over 2.5 at just 45%, a low-scoring game is the more likely story.
- Safest bet: Chelsea or draw (Double chance), about a 81% chance.
Who will win Chelsea vs Spurs?
We back Chelsea in Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 56% win chance. The model expects a tight game, with over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kick-off: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 at 22:00 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Chelsea, 56%
- Draw
- 25%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Chelsea get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at Stamford Bridge.
Helps Chelsea
Goals outlook
We expect only 2.5 goals. With over 2.5 at just 45%, a low-scoring game is the more likely story.
Helps Few goals
Derby factor
The London derby brings more fouls, more cards and fewer clear chances. We have trimmed expected goals and lifted the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Helps Draw
How many goals in Chelsea vs Spurs?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Chelsea vs Spurs
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 81%
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Wins if Chelsea win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 76%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 14%
Correct score
Chelsea 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Chelsea
A title-level side, Chelsea will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Stamford Bridge. Spurs need discipline for the full 90 minutes.
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
A strong, well-drilled team. Spurs tend to win games on the road at Stamford Bridge by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Tottenham Hotspur to Chelsea's Stamford Bridge. It is the London derby, and derbies tend to be closer than the league table would suggest. Our goals model expects 1.63 goals from Chelsea and 0.84 from Spurs, which is where the 56% rating for Chelsea comes from. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Chelsea and Spurs: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Chelsea play 7 days after their game away at Everton on 17 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Man Utd 7 days after this one. It is game 8 of 38 for them.
Spurs play 5 days after their game at home to Coventry on 19 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Palace 7 days after this one. It is game 8 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, is on Sat, 08 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaHill Dickinson Stadium
- 19 OctSpurs vs CoventryTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 24 OctChelsea vs SpursStamford BridgeThis match
- 31 OctChelsea vs Man UtdStamford Bridge
- 31 OctSpurs vs PalaceTottenham Hotspur Stadium
More Chelsea and Spurs predictions
- 08 MayTottenham Hotspur vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 31 OctChelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier League, 18:00 IST
- 08 NovSunderland vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 31 OctTottenham Hotspur vs Crystal PalacePremier League, 23:00 IST
- 07 NovLeeds United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 18:00 IST
- 24 OctAston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier League, 17:00 IST
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Chelsea vs Spurs?
We back Chelsea. Malik Mumbai's model gives Chelsea 56%, the draw 25% and Spurs 19%, based on our club ratings, home advantage and recent form.
What time is Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur in India?
Kick-off is 22:00 IST India time on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 (17:30 in the UK), at Stamford Bridge in London. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.
What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Spurs?
For a safer bet, Chelsea or draw (81%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (76%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Chelsea vs Spurs match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Chelsea favourite hain. Chelsea ka chance 56%, draw 25% aur Spurs ka chance 19% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model expects 2.5 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 9% chance of a 0-0.
What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Spurs?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-0 at 14%.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.