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Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Vishal Rao, Football EditorUpdated

55%Liverpool

23%draw

22%Arsenal

Predicted score 1-0 (half-time 0-0), from the Malik Mumbai goals model.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Liverpool at 55%.
  • Home advantage: Liverpool are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings.
  • Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.
  • Safest bet: Liverpool or draw (Double chance), about a 78% chance.

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

We back Liverpool in Liverpool vs Arsenal, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 55% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 at 22:00 IST.

Predicted score
1-0
Our pick
Liverpool, 55%
Draw
23%

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Home advantage

    Liverpool are at home and already the stronger side on our ratings. Playing at Anfield adds roughly a quarter of a goal to their expected output.

    Helps Liverpool

  • Goals outlook

    Our model expects 2.8 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 53%.

    Helps Even

  • Quality gap

    Liverpool are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 23%. An early goal for them would be hard for Arsenal to overturn.

    Helps Liverpool

How many goals in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.

012345+
Both teams score 54%Over 2.5 goals 53%Expected goals 1.77 / 1.04

Best bets for Liverpool vs Arsenal

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 78%

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    Pays out on a Liverpool win or a draw. The odds are low because only an upset loses it.

  2. Value

    Our chance 53%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    The model expects 2.8 goals, which clears the line more often than not.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 11%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 1-0

    Our predicted result. These markets rarely land, so a small stake is enough.

How the teams line up

Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

A title-level side, Liverpool will expect to dominate possession in front of their own fans at Anfield. Arsenal need discipline for the full 90 minutes.

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal are among the strongest teams in the league and should control the ball on the road at Anfield, leaving Liverpool to defend for long spells.

Match preview

The 2026/27 Premier League brings Arsenal to Liverpool's Anfield. We project 1.77 expected goals for Liverpool against 1.04 for Arsenal, and that gap drives our 55% rating for Liverpool. Line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off. A missing key player can change this more than any other factor, so wait for them.

Liverpool and Arsenal: the games either side

Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 25 Oct. Their next league game is away at Palace 7 days after this one. It is game 9 of 38 for them.

Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Everton on 24 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Hull 6 days after this one. It is game 9 of 38 for them.

The reverse fixture, at Emirates Stadium, is on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.

  1. 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
  2. 25 OctLiverpool vs BrightonAnfield
  3. 01 NovLiverpool vs ArsenalAnfieldThis match
  4. 07 NovArsenal vs HullEmirates Stadium
  5. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park

More Liverpool and Arsenal predictions

FAQ · 7

Liverpool vs Arsenal: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Liverpool. We rate Liverpool at 55%, the draw at 23% and Arsenal at 22%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.

What time is Liverpool vs Arsenal in India?

Kick-off is 22:00 IST India time on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 (16:30 in the UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Premier League dates can move for TV, so check nearer the day.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our safer bet is Liverpool or draw (78%). For more value we like total goals: Over 2.5 (53%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.

Liverpool vs Arsenal match kaun jitega?

Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Liverpool favourite hain. Liverpool ka chance 55%, draw 23% aur Arsenal ka chance 22% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Is Liverpool vs Arsenal a derby?

No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Liverpool and London.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our model expects 2.8 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 6% chance of a 0-0.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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