Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction
Our predicted score is 1-0. Below: the goals outlook, the deciding factors and three bets from safe to long shot.
52%Newcastle
24%draw
24%Villa
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Newcastle at 52%.
- Home advantage: On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
- Goals outlook: Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
- Safest bet: Newcastle or draw (Double chance), about a 76% chance.
Who will win Newcastle vs Villa?
We back Newcastle in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa, with a predicted score of 1-0 and a 52% win chance. The model expects a middling goals count, with over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 at 22:00 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Newcastle, 52%
- Draw
- 24%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
On top of being the stronger side, Newcastle get roughly a quarter-goal boost from playing at St James' Park.
Helps Newcastle
Goals outlook
Our model expects 2.7 goals, right on the line. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Newcastle are well ahead on our ratings, with the draw at just 24%. An early goal for them would be hard for Villa to overturn.
Helps Newcastle
How many goals in Newcastle vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Newcastle vs Villa
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 76%
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Wins if Newcastle win or the game ends level. Low odds, but it only loses to an upset.
Value
Our chance 71%
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is likely, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shot
Our chance 11%
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0
Our predicted score. Correct-score odds are long, so a small stake is plenty.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
A strong, well-drilled team. Newcastle tend to win games in front of their own fans at St James' Park by controlling midfield rather than overwhelming opponents.
Away
Aston Villa
Organised and dependable, Villa usually win on the road at St James' Park through midfield control rather than sheer firepower.
Match preview
Aston Villa visit St James' Park to face Newcastle United in the 2026/27 Premier League. We project 1.67 expected goals for Newcastle against 1.05 for Villa, and that gap drives our 52% rating for Newcastle. Check the team sheets, released roughly an hour before kick-off, because one absence can shift the odds more than anything else.
Newcastle and Villa: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Newcastle play 5 days after their game away at Coventry on 12 Oct. Their next league game is away at Palace 8 days after this one. It is game 7 of 38 for them.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 10 Oct. Their next league game is at home to Man City 7 days after this one. It is game 7 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Villa Park, is on Sat, 15 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 10 OctVilla vs BrentfordVilla Park
- 12 OctCoventry vs NewcastleCoventry Building Society Arena
- 17 OctNewcastle vs VillaSt James' ParkThis match
- 24 OctVilla vs Man CityVilla Park
- 25 OctPalace vs NewcastleSelhurst Park
More Newcastle and Villa predictions
- 15 MayAston Villa vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 25 OctCrystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 02 NovNewcastle United vs EvertonPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 24 OctAston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier League, 17:00 IST
- 31 OctAston Villa vs FulhamPremier League, 01:30 IST, next day
- 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaPremier League, 17:00 IST
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Newcastle vs Villa?
Our pick is Newcastle United. We rate Newcastle at 52%, the draw at 24% and Villa at 24%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Newcastle United vs Aston Villa in India?
The game starts at 22:00 IST India time on Sat, 17 Oct 2026, which is 17:30 in the UK, at St James' Park, Newcastle. TV picks can move the date, so check closer to the day.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Villa?
For a safer bet, Newcastle or draw (76%). For value, total goals: Under 3.5 (71%). Wait for the confirmed line-ups first.
Newcastle vs Villa match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Newcastle United favourite hain. Newcastle ka chance 52%, draw 24% aur Villa ka chance 24% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Villa?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Broadcast rights in India change by season, so check the official Premier League broadcaster listings closer to the day.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Our model expects 2.7 goals. The most likely total is 2 goals, and there is a 7% chance of a 0-0.
Is it legal to bet on the Premier League in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.