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India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 4 of 12

New Zealand vs India 4th T20I prediction

The verdict, a pitch read, how each innings should unfold and three bets at rising risk.

By Priya Nair, International AnalystUpdated

52%New Zealand

48%India

Win chances from the Malik Mumbai model. Projected first-innings scores: New Zealand 179-211, India 181-215.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 52% chance in our model.
  • Conditions at Eden Park: An even surface with something for everyone.
  • Batting depth: With 3 runs between the projected totals, the batting units are evenly matched, so look for a match-winning knock.
  • Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 52% chance.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.

Who will win the NZ vs IND 4th T20I?

Our verdict on New Zealand vs India: New Zealand win, with a 52% chance against 48% for India. Eden Park should help neither side, and we project a first-innings score of 179-211 for New Zealand and 181-215 for India. The 4th T20I starts Mon, 02 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.

Our pick
New Zealand, 52%
Format
T20 International
Pitch helps
Balanced

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Conditions at Eden Park

    An even surface with something for everyone. Phase scores should land close to the format norm. Neither attack gets special help here.

    Helps Even

  • Batting depth

    With 3 runs between the projected totals, the batting units are evenly matched, so look for a match-winning knock.

    Helps Even

  • The toss

    A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.

    Helps Even

What will New Zealand and India score?

How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Eden Park.

New Zealand India

Powerplay (0-6)
NZ51-59
IND53-63
Middle Overs (7-15)
NZ67-79
IND74-84
Death Overs (16-20)
NZ61-73
IND54-68

First-innings scoreNZ 179-211/IND 181-215

Best bets for NZ vs IND

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 52%

    Match winner

    New Zealand

    Our model's top pick. The odds will be short, so keep the stake modest if you want a real return.

  2. Value

    Our chance 55%

    New Zealand first-innings score

    Over 185.5 runs

    With New Zealand projected near 195, a 185.5 line gives a useful margin for error.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 24%

    Top batter

    Devon Conway (New Zealand)

    Goes hard in the first six. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.

Who can swing New Zealand vs India?

Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

New Zealand

  • Matt HenryOur pick for overs 17-2089impact
  • Devon ConwayGoes hard in the first six88impact

India

  • KL RahulGoes hard in the first six86impact
  • Shreyas IyerBest finisher in the side97impact

Match preview

India tour of New Zealand, 2026 reaches match 4 of 12 here. New Zealand know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. The 52% rating for New Zealand comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Eden Park and a balanced / dry surface. With so little in it, the first few overs could set the tone for the whole match. Wait for the team sheets before placing anything.

The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.

Where the 4th T20I fits in the series

Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.

The 4th T20I is match 4 of 12, played at Eden Park in Auckland on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.

It comes 4 days after the 3rd T20I at Sky Stadium in Wellington, so both squads travel to Auckland in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.

Next, the 5th T20I is 3 days after this one at Seddon Park in Hamilton.

Eden Park hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 1st ODI: New Zealand vs India (09 Nov).

  1. 29 Oct3rd T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
  2. 02 Nov4th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaEden ParkThis match
  3. 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park

More cricket predictions

FAQ · 9

NZ vs IND 4th T20I: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?

New Zealand are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 4th T20I at 52%, with India on 48%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the balanced / dry conditions at Eden Park.

What time does the NZ vs IND 4th T20I start in India?

The 4th T20I is scheduled for Mon, 02 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Eden Park, Auckland. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.

What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?

Our safer bet is New Zealand to win (52%). For better value, we like new zealand first-innings score over 185.5 runs (55%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.

What is the pitch like in Auckland?

It should help neither side: we class the surface as balanced / dry for this T20I, with New Zealand projected at 179-211 and India at 181-215.

Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?

A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.

What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?

If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Auckland on the day.

New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?

Hamare model mein New Zealand aage hain: 52% chance, jabki India ka 48% hai. Match Mon, 02 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Auckland ki pitch report kya hai?

Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.

Is there home advantage in the 4th T20I?

Yes, New Zealand are at home. Knowing the ground and the conditions is worth a few percentage points, and it is included in our 52% rating for New Zealand.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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