India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 6 of 12
New Zealand vs India 1st ODI prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
50%New Zealand
50%India
Quick overview
- Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 50% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Eden Park: Neither bat nor ball should dominate, so expect phase scores near the usual average for this format.
- Series momentum: With 6 matches left after this one, New Zealand can put real pressure on with a win here.
- Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 50% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
The 1st ODI between New Zealand and India is too close to call: our model has it 50-50. We lean New Zealand by the smallest margin. Expect New Zealand around 318 and India around 315 at Eden Park, where the pitch helps neither side. Play starts Mon, 09 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- New Zealand, 50%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Eden Park
Neither bat nor ball should dominate, so expect phase scores near the usual average for this format. Neither team gains much from the conditions.
Helps Even
Series momentum
With 6 matches left after this one, New Zealand can put real pressure on with a win here.
Helps New Zealand
The toss
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Helps Even
What will New Zealand and India score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Eden Park.
New Zealand India
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ44-56IND46-56
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ163-183IND164-184
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ86-104IND81-99
First-innings scoreNZ 293-343/IND 291-339
Best bets for NZ vs IND
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 50%
Match winner
New Zealand
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 60%
New Zealand first-innings score
Over 303.5 runs
Our projection for New Zealand is about 318, comfortably above 303.5, so a quiet start shouldn't sink it.
Long shot
Our chance 23%
Top batter
Kane Williamson (New Zealand)
Steady hand in a chase. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- Kane WilliamsonSteady hand in a chase90impact
- Mitchell SantnerTakes wickets through the middle88impact
India
- Jasprit BumrahTrusted at the end of the innings84impact
- Yashasvi JaiswalFast starter at the top94impact
Match preview
Match 6 of 12 in India tour of New Zealand, 2026 brings the sides back together. Home conditions favour New Zealand, and our rating includes that edge. We rate New Zealand at 50%, weighing team strength, how Eden Park usually plays and a balanced / dry pitch. With so little in it, the first few overs could set the tone for the whole match. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Where the 1st ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 1st ODI is match 6 of 12, played at Eden Park in Auckland on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
It comes 4 days after the 5th T20I at Seddon Park in Hamilton, so both squads travel to Auckland in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 2nd ODI is 3 days after this one at Sky Stadium in Wellington.
Eden Park hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 4th T20I: New Zealand vs India (02 Nov).
- 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 09 Nov1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaEden ParkThis match
- 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
More cricket predictions
NZ vs IND 1st ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 1st ODI at 50%, with India on 50%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the balanced / dry conditions at Eden Park.
What time does the NZ vs IND 1st ODI start in India?
Play is set to start Mon, 09 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST (India time) at Eden Park, Auckland. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?
For a safer bet, back New Zealand (50%). For more value, try new zealand first-innings score over 303.5 runs (60%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Auckland?
It should help neither side: we class the surface as balanced / dry for this ODI, with New Zealand projected at 293-343 and India at 291-339.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?
If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Auckland on the day.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se New Zealand favourite hain, 50% chance ke saath, aur India ka chance 50% hai. Match Mon, 09 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Auckland ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow New Zealand vs India live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.