India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 9 of 12
New Zealand vs India 4th ODI prediction
The verdict, a pitch read, how each innings should unfold and three bets at rising risk.
55%New Zealand
45%India
Quick overview
- Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 55% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Bay Oval: Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers.
- Series momentum: A win here would leave New Zealand in control, with 3 matches still to come.
- Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 55% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?
New Zealand are our pick for the NZ vs IND 4th ODI, at 55%. Expect New Zealand to score about 328 and India about 329, with conditions at Bay Oval helping the batters. First ball is Thu, 19 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- New Zealand, 55%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Bay Oval
Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers. Boundaries come easily, so a big total is the starting point, not a bonus. Whichever side uses its batters better gains the edge.
Helps Even
Series momentum
A win here would leave New Zealand in control, with 3 matches still to come.
Helps New Zealand
Batting depth
With 1 runs between the projected totals, the batting units are evenly matched, so look for a match-winning knock.
Helps Even
What will New Zealand and India score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Bay Oval.
New Zealand India
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ51-63IND53-63
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ168-186IND169-189
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ86-102IND83-101
First-innings scoreNZ 305-351/IND 305-353
Best bets for NZ vs IND
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 55%
Match winner
New Zealand
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 56%
New Zealand first-innings score
Over 314.5 runs
We project New Zealand around 328. A line near 314.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 22%
Top batter
Finn Allen (New Zealand)
Steady hand in a chase. This market pays long odds, which is why a small stake makes sense.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- Finn AllenSteady hand in a chase84impact
- Lockie FergusonTrusted at the end of the innings88impact
India
- Ravindra JadejaBalances the XI86impact
- Jasprit BumrahTrusted at the end of the innings93impact
Match preview
India tour of New Zealand, 2026 reaches match 9 of 12 here. New Zealand have the home crowd and local knowledge, and we have given them credit for it. The 55% rating for New Zealand comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Bay Oval and a flat / high-scoring surface. With so little in it, the first few overs could set the tone for the whole match. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: Neither choice at the toss gives much away on a pitch this good for batting.
Where the 4th ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 4th ODI is match 9 of 12, played at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on Thu, 19 Nov 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 3rd ODI at Seddon Park in Hamilton, so both squads travel to Mount Maunganui in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 5th ODI is 4 days after this one, at the same ground.
Bay Oval hosts 2 other matchs on our calendar: 5th ODI: New Zealand vs India (23 Nov), 1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (12 Feb).
- 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay OvalThis match
- 23 Nov5th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
More cricket predictions
NZ vs IND 4th ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 4th ODI at 55%, with India on 45%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the flat / high-scoring conditions at Bay Oval.
What time does the NZ vs IND 4th ODI start in India?
First ball is due Thu, 19 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?
For a safer bet, back New Zealand (55%). For more value, try new zealand first-innings score over 314.5 runs (56%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Mount Maunganui?
A flat / high-scoring pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help the batters. That points to first-innings scores of about 328 for New Zealand and 329 for India.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
Neither choice at the toss gives much away on a pitch this good for batting. Expect the toss about 30 minutes before play begins at 19:30 IST, with the XIs named at the same time.
What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?
Rain brings in DLS for a revised target, and too few overs means a no-result. Settlement then follows each site's rules for the market. Look at the forecast for Mount Maunganui on match day.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se New Zealand favourite hain, 55% chance ke saath, aur India ka chance 45% hai. Match Thu, 19 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Mount Maunganui ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
How many runs will be scored in New Zealand vs India?
We project New Zealand to make 305-351 and India to make 305-353 in their first-innings scores. The biggest scoring phase should be middle overs (11-40).
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.