India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 12 of 12
New Zealand vs India 2nd Test prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
52%New Zealand
48%India
Quick overview
- Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 52% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Hagley Oval: Expect the ball to nip around early.
- The toss: Bowling first is the likely choice, to get the most out of the early movement.
- Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 52% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the NZ vs IND 2nd Test?
New Zealand are our pick for the NZ vs IND 2nd Test, at 52%. Expect New Zealand to score about 273 and India about 289, with conditions at Hagley Oval helping the quicks. First ball is Mon, 30 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- New Zealand, 52%
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch helps
- Seamers
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Hagley Oval
Expect the ball to nip around early. Once it softens, the pitch should settle and batting gets noticeably easier. This suits New Zealand, who know these conditions best.
Helps New Zealand
The toss
Bowling first is the likely choice, to get the most out of the early movement.
Helps Toss winner
Batting depth
We project India to score about 16 runs more than their opponents. Over a full Test, that is a meaningful cushion, and it is the main reason New Zealand are favourites.
Helps India
What will New Zealand and India score?
How we expect each day to build, phase by phase, on a green / seam surface at Hagley Oval.
New Zealand India
- Session 1
- NZ78-94IND80-96
- Session 2
- NZ92-110IND101-117
- Session 3
- NZ79-93IND84-100
Day-one scoreNZ 249-297/IND 265-313
Best bets for NZ vs IND
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 52%
Match winner
New Zealand
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 58%
New Zealand day-one score
Over 258.5 runs
We project New Zealand around 273. A line near 258.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 26%
Top batter
Glenn Phillips (New Zealand)
Turns fifties into hundreds. A top-batter bet pays well when it lands, so keep the stake small.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- Tim SoutheeDangerous with the new ball81impact
- Glenn PhillipsTurns fifties into hundreds93impact
India
- Shubman GillBuilt for long innings88impact
- Mohammed SirajDangerous with the new ball85impact
Match preview
With most of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 played, there are few surprises left in either line-up. Home conditions favour New Zealand, and our rating includes that edge. The 52% rating for New Zealand comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Hagley Oval and a green / seam surface. It is a narrow call, so the toss and the early overs carry extra weight. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.
The toss: Bowling first is the likely choice, to get the most out of the early movement.
Where the 2nd Test fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 2nd Test is match 12 of 12, played at Hagley Oval in Christchurch on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.
It comes 4 days after the 1st Test at Basin Reserve in Wellington, so both squads travel to Christchurch in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
This is the last match of the series, so there is no later game to save players for.
Hagley Oval hosts 3 other matchs on our calendar: 1st T20I: New Zealand vs India (22 Oct), 2nd T20I: New Zealand vs India (26 Oct), 1st T20I: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (29 Jan).
- 26 Nov1st Test: New Zealand vs IndiaBasin Reserve
- 30 Nov2nd Test: New Zealand vs IndiaHagley OvalThis match
More cricket predictions
NZ vs IND 2nd Test: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?
Our numbers make New Zealand the favourites for the 2nd Test: 52% against 48% for India, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Hagley Oval.
What time does the NZ vs IND 2nd Test start in India?
First ball is due Mon, 30 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at Hagley Oval, Christchurch. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?
New Zealand to win is the safer option at 52%. The value pick is new zealand day-one score over 258.5 runs at 58%. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Christchurch?
We rate the Hagley Oval surface green / seam for this Test, which should help the quicks. Our projected day-one scores are 249-297 for New Zealand and 265-313 for India.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
Bowling first is the likely choice, to get the most out of the early movement. Expect the toss about 30 minutes before play begins at 19:30 IST, with the XIs named at the same time.
What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?
Lost time is not made up in full, so rain makes a draw more likely. Bets on the match result still stand, while session markets for overs never bowled are usually void. Check the forecast for Christchurch on the day.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se New Zealand favourite hain, 52% chance ke saath, aur India ka chance 48% hai. Match Mon, 30 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Christchurch ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko green / seam rate karte hain, isliye fast bowlers ko zyada madad milegi. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow New Zealand vs India live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.