India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 10 of 12
New Zealand vs India 5th ODI prediction
The verdict, a pitch read, how each innings should unfold and three bets at rising risk.
55%New Zealand
45%India
Quick overview
- Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 55% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Bay Oval: A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield.
- Series momentum: With 2 matches left after this one, New Zealand can put real pressure on with a win here.
- Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 55% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the NZ vs IND 5th ODI?
New Zealand are our pick for the NZ vs IND 5th ODI, at 55%. Expect New Zealand to score about 326 and India about 340, with conditions at Bay Oval helping the batters. First ball is Mon, 23 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- New Zealand, 55%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Bay Oval
A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield. Bowlers will rely on variations, and par scores run high. Whichever side uses its batters better gains the edge.
Helps Even
Series momentum
With 2 matches left after this one, New Zealand can put real pressure on with a win here.
Helps New Zealand
The toss
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Helps Even
What will New Zealand and India score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Bay Oval.
New Zealand India
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ50-62IND54-64
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ166-184IND174-192
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ87-103IND89-107
First-innings scoreNZ 303-349/IND 317-363
Best bets for NZ vs IND
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 55%
Match winner
New Zealand
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 59%
New Zealand first-innings score
Over 312.5 runs
We project New Zealand around 326. A line near 312.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 22%
Top batter
Tim Southee (New Zealand)
Trusted at the end of the innings. This market pays long odds, which is why a small stake makes sense.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- Tim SoutheeTrusted at the end of the innings90impact
- Ish SodhiTakes wickets through the middle96impact
India
- Ravindra JadejaBalances the XI83impact
- Mohammed SirajTrusted at the end of the innings91impact
Match preview
Match 10 of 12 in India tour of New Zealand, 2026 brings the sides back together. New Zealand know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. The 55% rating for New Zealand comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Bay Oval and a flat / high-scoring surface. The margin is small, so the toss and the first hour matter more than usual. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Where the 5th ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 5th ODI is match 10 of 12, played at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on Mon, 23 Nov 2026.
It comes 4 days after the 4th ODI at the same ground, so both sides have already seen this pitch. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 1st Test is 3 days after this one at Basin Reserve in Wellington.
Bay Oval hosts 2 other matchs on our calendar: 4th ODI: New Zealand vs India (19 Nov), 1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (12 Feb).
- 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
- 23 Nov5th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay OvalThis match
- 26 Nov1st Test: New Zealand vs IndiaBasin Reserve
More cricket predictions
NZ vs IND 5th ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand, at 55% on our model, with India given 45%. Team strength, home advantage and a flat / high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval all feed into that rating.
What time does the NZ vs IND 5th ODI start in India?
First ball is due Mon, 23 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?
For a safer bet, back New Zealand (55%). For more value, try new zealand first-innings score over 312.5 runs (59%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Mount Maunganui?
We rate the Bay Oval surface flat / high-scoring for this ODI, which should help the batters. Our projected first-innings scores are 303-349 for New Zealand and 317-363 for India.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?
Rain brings in DLS for a revised target, and too few overs means a no-result. Settlement then follows each site's rules for the market. Look at the forecast for Mount Maunganui on match day.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein New Zealand aage hain: 55% chance, jabki India ka 45% hai. Match Mon, 23 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Mount Maunganui ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Is it legal to bet on NZ vs IND in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.