India tour of New Zealand, 2026, match 8 of 12
New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
56%New Zealand
44%India
Quick overview
- Our pick: New Zealand to win, a 56% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Seddon Park: A fair contest between bat and ball, so phase scores should sit close to the format average.
- The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one.
- Safest bet: New Zealand (Match winner), about a 56% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?
Malik Mumbai backs New Zealand to beat India in the 3rd ODI at Seddon Park, rating their chances at 56%. We expect New Zealand to make around 324 and India around 317 on a pitch that helps neither side. Play starts Mon, 16 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- New Zealand, 56%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Seddon Park
A fair contest between bat and ball, so phase scores should sit close to the format average. The conditions don't favour either side.
Helps Even
The toss
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Helps Even
Series momentum
4 games remain after this, so a win would give New Zealand the upper hand in the series.
Helps New Zealand
What will New Zealand and India score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Seddon Park.
New Zealand India
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ42-54IND52-64
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ169-189IND162-182
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ89-105IND78-96
First-innings scoreNZ 300-348/IND 292-342
Best bets for NZ vs IND
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 56%
Match winner
New Zealand
Our model's top pick. The odds will be short, so keep the stake modest if you want a real return.
Value
Our chance 59%
New Zealand first-innings score
Over 309.5 runs
We project New Zealand around 324. A line near 309.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 24%
Top batter
Rachin Ravindra (New Zealand)
Balances the XI. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- Rachin RavindraBalances the XI90impact
- Finn AllenFast starter at the top91impact
India
- Jasprit BumrahTrusted at the end of the innings83impact
- Rohit SharmaFast starter at the top89impact
Match preview
Match 8 of 12 in India tour of New Zealand, 2026 brings the sides back together. New Zealand know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. We rate New Zealand at 56%, weighing team strength, how Seddon Park usually plays and a balanced / dry pitch. With so little in it, the first few overs could set the tone for the whole match. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Where the 3rd ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 3rd ODI is match 8 of 12, played at Seddon Park in Hamilton on Mon, 16 Nov 2026.
It comes 4 days after the 2nd ODI at Sky Stadium in Wellington, so both squads travel to Hamilton in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 4th ODI is 3 days after this one at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.
Seddon Park hosts 2 other matchs on our calendar: 5th T20I: New Zealand vs India (05 Nov), 2nd Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (16 Feb).
- 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
- 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon ParkThis match
- 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
More cricket predictions
NZ vs IND 3rd ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win New Zealand vs India?
Our numbers make New Zealand the favourites for the 3rd ODI: 56% against 44% for India, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Seddon Park.
What time does the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI start in India?
The 3rd ODI is scheduled for Mon, 16 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for NZ vs IND?
Our safer bet is New Zealand to win (56%). For better value, we like new zealand first-innings score over 309.5 runs (59%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Hamilton?
A balanced / dry pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help neither side. That points to first-innings scores of about 324 for New Zealand and 317 for India.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in NZ vs IND?
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during New Zealand vs India?
If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Hamilton on the day.
New Zealand vs India match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein New Zealand aage hain: 56% chance, jabki India ka 44% hai. Match Mon, 16 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Hamilton ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow New Zealand vs India live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.