Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026, match 4 of 8
South Africa vs Bangladesh 2nd ODI prediction
Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.
63%South Africa
37%Bangladesh
Quick overview
- Our pick: South Africa to win, a 63% chance in our model.
- Conditions at St George's Park: Some balls stop, some skid on.
- The toss: The toss winner should chase, before the surface slows further.
- Safest bet: South Africa (Match winner), about a 63% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI?
South Africa are our pick for the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI, at 63%. Expect South Africa to score about 308 and Bangladesh about 287, with conditions at St George's Park helping the bowlers. First ball is Fri, 27 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- South Africa, 63%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Bowlers
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at St George's Park
Some balls stop, some skid on. Timing the ball is hard, so patient batting beats big hitting and scores stay modest. Whichever side uses its bowlers better gains the edge.
Helps Even
The toss
The toss winner should chase, before the surface slows further.
Helps Toss winner
Batting depth
Our projected totals put South Africa about 21 runs ahead. Across a ODI, that gap is a big part of why South Africa lead the market.
Helps South Africa
What will South Africa and Bangladesh score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a two-paced / bowling surface at St George's Park.
South Africa Bangladesh
- Powerplay (0-10)
- SA48-58BAN39-49
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- SA158-178BAN151-169
- Death Overs (41-50)
- SA78-96BAN75-91
First-innings scoreSA 284-332/BAN 265-309
Best bets for SA vs BAN
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 63%
Match winner
South Africa
Our model's top pick. The odds will be short, so keep the stake modest if you want a real return.
Value
Our chance 60%
South Africa first-innings score
Over 293.5 runs
Our projection for South Africa is about 308, comfortably above 293.5, so a quiet start shouldn't sink it.
Long shot
Our chance 27%
Top batter
Tristan Stubbs (South Africa)
Steady hand in a chase. This market pays long odds, which is why a small stake makes sense.
Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
- Tristan StubbsSteady hand in a chase84impact
- Lungi NgidiTrusted at the end of the innings95impact
Bangladesh
- MahmudullahBalances the XI85impact
- Shoriful IslamTrusted at the end of the innings97impact
Match preview
This is match 4 of 8 in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026. Home conditions favour South Africa, and our rating includes that edge. The 63% rating for South Africa comes from team strength, scoring patterns at St George's Park and a two-paced / bowling surface. The gap is real, but cricket gives underdogs a way back through one good spell. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: The toss winner should chase, before the surface slows further.
Where the 2nd ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.
The 2nd ODI is match 4 of 8, played at St George's Park in Gqeberha on Fri, 27 Nov 2026.
It comes 4 days after the 1st ODI at Buffalo Park in East London, so both squads travel to Gqeberha in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 3rd ODI is 4 days after this one at Newlands in Cape Town.
St George's Park hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 2nd Test: South Africa vs Australia (24 Oct).
- 23 Nov1st ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshBuffalo Park
- 27 Nov2nd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshSt George's ParkThis match
- 01 Dec3rd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshNewlands
More cricket predictions
- 01 Dec3rd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 05 Dec1st T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 09 Dec2nd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
- 13 Dec3rd T20I: South Africa vs BangladeshBangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
SA vs BAN 2nd ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win South Africa vs Bangladesh?
South Africa are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 2nd ODI at 63%, with Bangladesh on 37%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the two-paced / bowling conditions at St George's Park.
What time does the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI start in India?
Play is set to start Fri, 27 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST (India time) at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for SA vs BAN?
Our safer bet is South Africa to win (63%). For better value, we like south africa first-innings score over 293.5 runs (60%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Gqeberha?
We rate the St George's Park surface two-paced / bowling for this ODI, which should help the bowlers. Our projected first-innings scores are 284-332 for South Africa and 265-309 for Bangladesh.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in SA vs BAN?
The toss winner should chase, before the surface slows further. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What happens if it rains during South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Rain brings in DLS for a revised target, and too few overs means a no-result. Settlement then follows each site's rules for the market. Look at the forecast for Gqeberha on match day.
South Africa vs Bangladesh match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se South Africa favourite hain, 63% chance ke saath, aur Bangladesh ka chance 37% hai. Match Fri, 27 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Gqeberha ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko two-paced / bowling rate karte hain, isliye bowlers ko madad milegi aur score kam rahega. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow South Africa vs Bangladesh live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.