Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction
We predict 1-0. Here is how the goals should come, what decides it, and three bets at different risk levels.
52%Sunderland
24%draw
24%Leeds
Quick overview
- Our pick: We predict 1-0, with Sunderland at 52%.
- Home advantage: Sunderland have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stadium of Light.
- Goals outlook: 2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
- Safest bet: Sunderland or draw (Double chance), about a 76% chance.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction is 1-0. Sunderland are 52% to win, the draw is 24%, and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. The match kicks off Sun, 25 Oct 2026 at 22:00 IST.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Our pick
- Sunderland, 52%
- Draw
- 24%
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Home advantage
Sunderland have both the better ratings and home advantage, which is worth about a quarter of a goal at Stadium of Light.
Helps Sunderland
Goals outlook
2.8 goals is our expectation, which leaves over 2.5 at a finely balanced 53%.
Helps Even
Quality gap
Our ratings put Sunderland clearly ahead, and the draw is only 24%. If Sunderland score first, Leeds may struggle to come back.
Helps Sunderland
How many goals in Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total. The highlighted column is the most likely outcome.
Best bets for Sunderland vs Leeds
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 76%
Double chance
Sunderland or draw
Covers a Sunderland win and the draw, so only an upset beats it. Expect a short price.
Value
Our chance 55%
Both teams to score
Yes
Both attacks should create chances. We rate it 55%.
Long shot
Our chance 10%
Correct score
Sunderland 1-0
The scoreline our model predicts. Correct-score markets pay long odds, so keep the stake small.
How the teams line up
Confirmed line-ups arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
A steady mid-table team, Sunderland defend well in front of their own fans at Stadium of Light but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Away
Leeds United
A steady mid-table team, Leeds defend well on the road at Stadium of Light but can struggle to turn possession into chances.
Match preview
The 2026/27 Premier League brings Leeds United to Sunderland's Stadium of Light. We project 1.72 expected goals for Sunderland against 1.10 for Leeds, and that gap drives our 52% rating for Sunderland. Team news lands about an hour before kick-off, and a key absence can move this more than anything else, so check the line-ups before you bet.
Sunderland and Leeds: the games either side
Rest days and what comes next for both clubs, from the published Premier League fixture list.
Sunderland play 7 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 18 Oct. Their next league game is away at Coventry 6 days after this one. It is game 8 of 38 for them.
Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 18 Oct. Their next league game is away at Bournemouth 6 days after this one. It is game 8 of 38 for them.
The reverse fixture, at Elland Road, is on Sun, 23 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings this season. In the UK this match is on Sky Sports.
- 18 OctBournemouth vs SunderlandVitality Stadium
- 18 OctLeeds vs Man UtdElland Road
- 25 OctSunderland vs LeedsStadium of LightThis match
- 31 OctCoventry vs SunderlandCoventry Building Society Arena
- 31 OctBournemouth vs LeedsVitality Stadium
More Sunderland and Leeds predictions
- 23 MayLeeds United vs SunderlandPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 31 OctCoventry City vs SunderlandPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 08 NovSunderland vs ChelseaPremier League, 19:30 IST
- 31 OctAFC Bournemouth vs Leeds UnitedPremier League, 20:30 IST
- 07 NovLeeds United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League, 18:00 IST
- 25 OctCrystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League, 19:30 IST
Sunderland vs Leeds United: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our pick is Sunderland. We rate Sunderland at 52%, the draw at 24% and Leeds at 24%, from club ratings, home advantage and form.
What time is Sunderland vs Leeds United in India?
Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 22:00 IST India time (16:30 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Broadcast changes can shift Premier League fixtures, so confirm nearer kick-off.
What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our safer bet is Sunderland or draw (76%). For more value we like both teams to score: Yes (55%). Always check the confirmed line-ups first.
Sunderland vs Leeds match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Sunderland favourite hain. Sunderland ka chance 52%, draw 24% aur Leeds ka chance 24% hai. Hamara predicted score 1-0 hai. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Leeds?
We predict 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The single most likely exact score in our model is 1-1 at 11%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it leans yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Is Sunderland vs Leeds United a derby?
No, it is a regular league match between clubs from Sunderland and Leeds.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.