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England tour of Australia, 2026, match 5 of 8

Australia vs England 2nd T20I prediction

Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.

By Priya Nair, International AnalystUpdated

52%Australia

48%England

Win chances from the Malik Mumbai model. Projected first-innings scores: Australia 195-227, England 194-226.

Quick overview

  • Our pick: Australia to win, a 52% chance in our model.
  • Conditions at Carrara Oval: Flat, quick and true, with a fast outfield.
  • Series momentum: 3 games remain after this, so a win would give Australia the upper hand in the series.
  • Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 52% chance.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.

Who will win the AUS vs ENG 2nd T20I?

Our verdict on Australia vs England: Australia win, with a 52% chance against 48% for England. Carrara Oval should help the batters, and we project a first-innings score of 195-227 for Australia and 194-226 for England. The 2nd T20I starts Mon, 23 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.

Our pick
Australia, 52%
Format
T20 International
Pitch helps
Batters

What will decide it

The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.

  • Conditions at Carrara Oval

    Flat, quick and true, with a fast outfield. Bowlers need a plan B here, and big totals are the norm rather than the exception. Whichever side uses its batters better gains the edge.

    Helps Even

  • Series momentum

    3 games remain after this, so a win would give Australia the upper hand in the series.

    Helps Australia

  • The toss

    Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.

    Helps Even

What will Australia and England score?

How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Carrara Oval.

Australia England

Powerplay (0-6)
AUS55-65
ENG55-63
Middle Overs (7-15)
AUS76-86
ENG75-87
Death Overs (16-20)
AUS64-76
ENG64-76

First-innings scoreAUS 195-227/ENG 194-226

Best bets for AUS vs ENG

One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.

  1. Safer

    Our chance 52%

    Match winner

    Australia

    The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.

  2. Value

    Our chance 55%

    Australia first-innings score

    Over 201.5 runs

    With Australia projected near 211, a 201.5 line gives a useful margin for error.

  3. Long shot

    Our chance 48%

    Match winner

    England

    An upset needs a big day from someone like Reece Topley. Possible, but not likely.

Who can swing Australia vs England?

Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

Australia

  • Mitchell StarcOur pick for overs 17-2088impact
  • Marcus StoinisUseful with bat and ball94impact

England

  • Reece TopleyOur pick for overs 17-2092impact
  • Jonny BairstowGoes hard in the first six88impact

Match preview

Match 5 of 8 in England tour of Australia, 2026 brings the sides back together. Home conditions favour Australia, and our rating includes that edge. Our projection gives Australia a 52% chance, built on team strength, recent scoring at Carrara Oval and a flat / high-scoring surface. The margin is small, so the toss and the first hour matter more than usual. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.

The toss: Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.

Where the 2nd T20I fits in the series

Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.

The 2nd T20I is match 5 of 8, played at Carrara Oval in Queensland on Mon, 23 Nov 2026.

It comes 2 days after the 1st T20I at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne, so both squads travel to Queensland in between. That is a quick turnaround: expect at least one side to rest a frontline fast bowler.

Next, the 3rd T20I is 3 days after this one at The Gabba in Brisbane.

  1. 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandMelbourne Cricket Ground
  2. 23 Nov2nd T20I: Australia vs EnglandCarrara OvalThis match
  3. 26 Nov3rd T20I: Australia vs EnglandThe Gabba

More cricket predictions

FAQ · 9

AUS vs ENG 2nd T20I: questions fans ask

Quick answers to what readers ask us most.

Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?

Our numbers make Australia the favourites for the 2nd T20I: 52% against 48% for England, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Carrara Oval.

What time does the AUS vs ENG 2nd T20I start in India?

The 2nd T20I is scheduled for Mon, 23 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Carrara Oval, Queensland. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.

What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?

Australia to win is the safer option at 52%. The value pick is australia first-innings score over 201.5 runs at 55%. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.

What is the pitch like in Queensland?

It should help the batters: we class the surface as flat / high-scoring for this T20I, with Australia projected at 195-227 and England at 194-226.

Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?

Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.

What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?

Lost overs mean a DLS target; if the minimum overs can't be played, the match is a no-result. Which bets stand or are void depends on each site's rules. Check the Queensland forecast before you bet.

Australia vs England match kaun jitega?

Hamare model mein Australia aage hain: 52% chance, jabki England ka 48% hai. Match Mon, 23 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.

Queensland ki pitch report kya hai?

Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.

Is there home advantage in the 2nd T20I?

Yes, Australia are at home. Knowing the ground and the conditions is worth a few percentage points, and it is included in our 52% rating for Australia.

Still unsure? Ask our team

Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.

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