England tour of Australia, 2026, match 6 of 8
Australia vs England 3rd T20I prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
56%Australia
44%England
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 56% chance in our model.
- Conditions at The Gabba: Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers.
- Batting depth: Our projected totals put Australia about 19 runs ahead.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 56% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
Our verdict on Australia vs England: Australia win, with a 56% chance against 44% for England. The Gabba should help the batters, and we project a first-innings score of 202-234 for Australia and 181-217 for England. The 3rd T20I starts Thu, 26 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 56%
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at The Gabba
Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers. Boundaries come easily, so a big total is the starting point, not a bonus. It should suit the batters on both sides equally.
Helps Even
Batting depth
Our projected totals put Australia about 19 runs ahead. Across a T20I, that gap is a big part of why Australia lead the market.
Helps Australia
Series momentum
2 games remain after this, so a win would give Australia the upper hand in the series.
Helps Australia
What will Australia and England score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at The Gabba.
Australia England
- Powerplay (0-6)
- AUS58-68ENG55-65
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- AUS78-88ENG69-81
- Death Overs (16-20)
- AUS66-78ENG57-71
First-innings scoreAUS 202-234/ENG 181-217
Best bets for AUS vs ENG
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 56%
Match winner
Australia
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 62%
Australia first-innings score
Over 208.5 runs
Our projection for Australia is about 218, comfortably above 208.5, so a quiet start shouldn't sink it.
Long shot
Our chance 26%
Top batter
Josh Inglis (Australia)
Goes hard in the first six. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- Pat CumminsOur pick for overs 17-2094impact
- Josh InglisGoes hard in the first six86impact
England
- Sam CurranUseful with bat and ball94impact
- Mark WoodOpens the bowling90impact
Match preview
This is match 6 of 8 in England tour of Australia, 2026. Home conditions favour Australia, and our rating includes that edge. We rate Australia at 56%, weighing team strength, how The Gabba usually plays and a flat / high-scoring pitch. It is a narrow call, so the toss and the early overs carry extra weight. Wait for the team sheets before placing anything.
The toss: Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
Where the 3rd T20I fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 3rd T20I is match 6 of 8, played at The Gabba in Brisbane on Thu, 26 Nov 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 2nd T20I at Carrara Oval in Queensland, so both squads travel to Brisbane in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 4th T20I is 3 days after this one at Sydney Cricket Ground in Sydney.
- 23 Nov2nd T20I: Australia vs EnglandCarrara Oval
- 26 Nov3rd T20I: Australia vs EnglandThe GabbaThis match
- 29 Nov4th T20I: Australia vs EnglandSydney Cricket Ground
More cricket predictions
AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?
Australia are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 3rd T20I at 56%, with England on 44%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the flat / high-scoring conditions at The Gabba.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I start in India?
First ball is due Thu, 26 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time at The Gabba, Brisbane. Check again on match day, as series dates sometimes change.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?
For a safer bet, back Australia (56%). For more value, try australia first-innings score over 208.5 runs (62%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Brisbane?
We rate the The Gabba surface flat / high-scoring for this T20I, which should help the batters. Our projected first-innings scores are 202-234 for Australia and 181-217 for England.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?
Lost overs mean a DLS target; if the minimum overs can't be played, the match is a no-result. Which bets stand or are void depends on each site's rules. Check the Brisbane forecast before you bet.
Australia vs England match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Australia favourite hain, 56% chance ke saath, aur England ka chance 44% hai. Match Thu, 26 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Brisbane ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow Australia vs England live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.