England tour of Australia, 2026, match 8 of 8
Australia vs England 5th T20I prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
70%Australia
30%England
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 70% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Manuka Oval: A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield.
- The toss: Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 70% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs ENG 5th T20I?
Our verdict on Australia vs England: Australia win, with a 70% chance against 30% for England. Manuka Oval should help the batters, and we project a first-innings score of 203-237 for Australia and 188-222 for England. The 5th T20I starts Wed, 02 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 70%
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Manuka Oval
A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield. Bowlers will rely on variations, and par scores run high. Both teams' batters should enjoy it.
Helps Even
The toss
Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
Helps Even
Batting depth
We project Australia to score about 15 runs more than their opponents. Over a full T20I, that is a meaningful cushion, and it is the main reason Australia are favourites.
Helps Australia
What will Australia and England score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Manuka Oval.
Australia England
- Powerplay (0-6)
- AUS60-68ENG57-65
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- AUS77-89ENG72-84
- Death Overs (16-20)
- AUS66-80ENG59-73
First-innings scoreAUS 203-237/ENG 188-222
Best bets for AUS vs ENG
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 70%
Match winner
Australia
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 62%
Australia first-innings score
Over 209.5 runs
We project Australia around 220. A line near 209.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 30%
Match winner
England
An upset needs a big day from someone like Jofra Archer. Possible, but not likely.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- Pat CumminsOur pick for overs 17-2080impact
- Mitchell MarshUseful with bat and ball91impact
England
- Jofra ArcherOur pick for overs 17-2095impact
- Phil SaltBest finisher in the side91impact
Match preview
With most of England tour of Australia, 2026 played, there are few surprises left in either line-up. Home conditions favour Australia, and our rating includes that edge. Our projection gives Australia a 70% chance, built on team strength, recent scoring at Manuka Oval and a flat / high-scoring surface. The gap is real, but cricket gives underdogs a way back through one good spell. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.
The toss: Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
Where the 5th T20I fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 5th T20I is match 8 of 8, played at Manuka Oval in Canberra on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 4th T20I at Sydney Cricket Ground in Sydney, so both squads travel to Canberra in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
This is the last match of the series, so there is no later game to save players for.
- 29 Nov4th T20I: Australia vs EnglandSydney Cricket Ground
- 02 Dec5th T20I: Australia vs EnglandManuka OvalThis match
More cricket predictions
AUS vs ENG 5th T20I: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?
Australia, at 70% on our model, with England given 30%. Team strength, home advantage and a flat / high-scoring pitch at Manuka Oval all feed into that rating.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 5th T20I start in India?
Play is set to start Wed, 02 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST (India time) at Manuka Oval, Canberra. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?
For a safer bet, back Australia (70%). For more value, try australia first-innings score over 209.5 runs (62%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Canberra?
It should help the batters: we class the surface as flat / high-scoring for this T20I, with Australia projected at 203-237 and England at 188-222.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?
Lost overs mean a DLS target; if the minimum overs can't be played, the match is a no-result. Which bets stand or are void depends on each site's rules. Check the Canberra forecast before you bet.
Australia vs England match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Australia favourite hain, 70% chance ke saath, aur England ka chance 30% hai. Match Wed, 02 Dec 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Canberra ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow Australia vs England live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.