England tour of Australia, 2026, match 7 of 8
Australia vs England 4th T20I prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
58%Australia
42%England
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 58% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Sydney Cricket Ground: A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield.
- The toss: The toss barely matters.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 58% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs ENG 4th T20I?
Malik Mumbai backs Australia to beat England in the 4th T20I at Sydney Cricket Ground, rating their chances at 58%. We expect Australia to make around 209 and England around 201 on a pitch that helps the batters. Play starts Sun, 29 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 58%
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Sydney Cricket Ground
A true surface with good pace and carry, and a quick outfield. Bowlers will rely on variations, and par scores run high. It should suit the batters on both sides equally.
Helps Even
The toss
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Helps Even
Batting depth
Our projected totals are just 8 runs apart. One standout innings is more likely to decide it than overall depth.
Helps Even
What will Australia and England score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Sydney Cricket Ground.
Australia England
- Powerplay (0-6)
- AUS56-66ENG55-65
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- AUS74-84ENG72-82
- Death Overs (16-20)
- AUS62-76ENG57-71
First-innings scoreAUS 192-226/ENG 184-218
Best bets for AUS vs ENG
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 58%
Match winner
Australia
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 55%
Australia first-innings score
Over 198.5 runs
We project Australia around 209. A line near 198.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 26%
Top batter
Travis Head (Australia)
Sets the early scoring rate. A top-batter bet pays well when it lands, so keep the stake small.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- Travis HeadSets the early scoring rate95impact
- Josh HazlewoodOpens the bowling88impact
England
- Jofra ArcherOur pick for overs 17-2090impact
- Jos ButtlerGoes hard in the first six96impact
Match preview
By this stage of England tour of Australia, 2026, both sides know exactly what the other is trying to do. Australia have the home crowd and local knowledge, and we have given them credit for it. We rate Australia at 58%, weighing team strength, how Sydney Cricket Ground usually plays and a flat / high-scoring pitch. It is a narrow call, so the toss and the early overs carry extra weight. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.
The toss: The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Where the 4th T20I fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 4th T20I is match 7 of 8, played at Sydney Cricket Ground in Sydney on Sun, 29 Nov 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 3rd T20I at The Gabba in Brisbane, so both squads travel to Sydney in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 5th T20I is 3 days after this one at Manuka Oval in Canberra.
Sydney Cricket Ground hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 4th Test: Australia vs New Zealand (08 Jan).
- 26 Nov3rd T20I: Australia vs EnglandThe Gabba
- 29 Nov4th T20I: Australia vs EnglandSydney Cricket GroundThis match
- 02 Dec5th T20I: Australia vs EnglandManuka Oval
More cricket predictions
AUS vs ENG 4th T20I: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?
Australia are favourites. Malik Mumbai rates their chance of winning the 4th T20I at 58%, with England on 42%. The projection weighs team strength, home advantage and the flat / high-scoring conditions at Sydney Cricket Ground.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 4th T20I start in India?
Play is set to start Sun, 29 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST (India time) at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?
For a safer bet, back Australia (58%). For more value, try australia first-innings score over 198.5 runs (55%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Sydney?
It should help the batters: we class the surface as flat / high-scoring for this T20I, with Australia projected at 192-226 and England at 184-218.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?
Rain brings in DLS for a revised target, and too few overs means a no-result. Settlement then follows each site's rules for the market. Look at the forecast for Sydney on match day.
Australia vs England match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein Australia aage hain: 58% chance, jabki England ka 42% hai. Match Sun, 29 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Sydney ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
How many runs will be scored in Australia vs England?
We project Australia to make 192-226 and England to make 184-218 in their first-innings scores. The biggest scoring phase should be middle overs (7-15).
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.