England tour of Australia, 2026, match 3 of 8
Australia vs England 3rd ODI prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
69%Australia
31%England
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 69% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Bellerive Oval: Flat, quick and true, with a fast outfield.
- Series momentum: 5 games remain after this, so a win would give Australia the upper hand in the series.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 69% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Our verdict on Australia vs England: Australia win, with a 69% chance against 31% for England. Bellerive Oval should help the batters, and we project a first-innings score of 310-356 for Australia and 302-352 for England. The 3rd ODI starts Wed, 18 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 69%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Bellerive Oval
Flat, quick and true, with a fast outfield. Bowlers need a plan B here, and big totals are the norm rather than the exception. Both teams' batters should enjoy it.
Helps Even
Series momentum
5 games remain after this, so a win would give Australia the upper hand in the series.
Helps Australia
The toss
Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
Helps Even
What will Australia and England score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface at Bellerive Oval.
Australia England
- Powerplay (0-10)
- AUS53-63ENG51-63
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- AUS168-188ENG170-190
- Death Overs (41-50)
- AUS89-105ENG81-99
First-innings scoreAUS 310-356/ENG 302-352
Best bets for AUS vs ENG
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 69%
Match winner
Australia
Our model's top pick. The odds will be short, so keep the stake modest if you want a real return.
Value
Our chance 59%
Australia first-innings score
Over 319.5 runs
With Australia projected near 333, a 319.5 line gives a useful margin for error.
Long shot
Our chance 27%
Top batter
Josh Hazlewood (Australia)
Trusted at the end of the innings. Top-batter odds are usually long, so a small stake is enough.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- Josh HazlewoodTrusted at the end of the innings84impact
- Alex CareyFast starter at the top95impact
England
- Liam LivingstoneBalances the XI90impact
- Joe RootFast starter at the top88impact
Match preview
This is match 3 of 8 in England tour of Australia, 2026. Australia know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. We rate Australia at 69%, weighing team strength, how Bellerive Oval usually plays and a flat / high-scoring pitch. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides.
Where the 3rd ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 3rd ODI is match 3 of 8, played at Bellerive Oval in Hobart on Wed, 18 Nov 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 2nd ODI at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide, so both squads travel to Hobart in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 1st T20I is 3 days after this one at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
- 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
- 18 Nov3rd ODI: Australia vs EnglandBellerive OvalThis match
- 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandMelbourne Cricket Ground
More cricket predictions
AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?
Our numbers make Australia the favourites for the 3rd ODI: 69% against 31% for England, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Bellerive Oval.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI start in India?
The 3rd ODI is scheduled for Wed, 18 Nov 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Bellerive Oval, Hobart. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?
Australia to win is the safer option at 69%. The value pick is australia first-innings score over 319.5 runs at 59%. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Hobart?
A flat / high-scoring pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help the batters. That points to first-innings scores of about 333 for Australia and 327 for England.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
Bat or bowl, the toss winner gains little: the runs should be there for both sides. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?
If overs are lost, the DLS method sets a revised target, and a match that can't reach the minimum overs ends as a no-result. Each site's rules decide which bets stand and which are void. Check the forecast for Hobart on the day.
Australia vs England match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein Australia aage hain: 69% chance, jabki England ka 31% hai. Match Wed, 18 Nov 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Hobart ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / high-scoring rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
How accurate are Malik Mumbai's cricket predictions?
Our percentages are probabilities, not promises: a 69% pick should still lose about 31 times in 100. We publish our method and track record on the How we test page.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.