Australia tour of India, 2027, match 3 of 5
India vs Australia 3rd Test prediction
Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.
58%India
42%Australia
Quick overview
- Our pick: India to win, a 58% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Barsapara Cricket Stadium: A fair contest between bat and ball, so session scores should sit close to the format average.
- Batting depth: Our projected totals are just 11 runs apart.
- Safest bet: India (Match winner), about a 58% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?
Malik Mumbai backs India to beat Australia in the 3rd Test at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, rating their chances at 58%. We expect India to make around 280 and Australia around 269 on a pitch that helps neither side. Play starts Thu, 11 Feb 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- India, 58%
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Barsapara Cricket Stadium
A fair contest between bat and ball, so session scores should sit close to the format average. Neither attack gets special help here.
Helps Even
Batting depth
Our projected totals are just 11 runs apart. One standout innings is more likely to decide it than overall depth.
Helps Even
The toss
Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
Helps Even
What will India and Australia score?
How we expect each day to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at Barsapara Cricket Stadium.
India Australia
- Session 1
- IND79-93AUS80-94
- Session 2
- IND96-114AUS94-110
- Session 3
- IND82-96AUS73-87
Day-one scoreIND 257-303/AUS 247-291
Best bets for IND vs AUS
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 58%
Match winner
India
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 61%
India day-one score
Over 266.5 runs
We project India around 280. A line near 266.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 42%
Match winner
Australia
An upset needs a big day from someone like Mitchell Starc. Possible, but not likely.
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- Ravindra JadejaGives the side a fifth bowler82impact
- Axar PatelCan bowl all day85impact
Australia
- Mitchell StarcHits the deck hard85impact
- Travis HeadTurns fifties into hundreds85impact
Match preview
Australia tour of India, 2027 reaches match 3 of 5 here. India have the home crowd and local knowledge, and we have given them credit for it. The 58% rating for India comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Barsapara Cricket Stadium and a balanced / dry surface. It is a narrow call, so the toss and the early overs carry extra weight. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
Where the 3rd Test fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.
The 3rd Test is match 3 of 5, played at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati on Thu, 11 Feb 2027.
It comes 11 days after the 2nd Test at MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai, so both squads travel to Guwahati in between. The long gap gives both sides time to reset, so form from the last game counts for less.
Next, the 4th Test is 10 days after this one at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 2nd ODI: India vs West Indies (30 Sep).
- 31 Jan2nd Test: India vs AustraliaMA Chidambaram Stadium
- 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket StadiumThis match
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
More cricket predictions
IND vs AUS 3rd Test: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win India vs Australia?
Our numbers make India the favourites for the 3rd Test: 58% against 42% for Australia, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at Barsapara Cricket Stadium.
What time does the IND vs AUS 3rd Test start in India?
Play is set to start Thu, 11 Feb 2027 at 19:30 IST (India time) at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for IND vs AUS?
For a safer bet, back India (58%). For more value, try india day-one score over 266.5 runs (61%). Keep stakes to money you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Guwahati?
It should help neither side: we class the surface as balanced / dry for this Test, with India projected at 257-303 and Australia at 247-291.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in IND vs AUS?
Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch. Expect the toss about 30 minutes before play begins at 19:30 IST, with the XIs named at the same time.
What happens if it rains during India vs Australia?
Rain in a Test makes a draw more likely, because lost overs are rarely recovered in full. Match-result bets stand, but session markets for unbowled overs are usually void. Check the Guwahati forecast on the day.
India vs Australia match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein India aage hain: 58% chance, jabki Australia ka 42% hai. Match Thu, 11 Feb 2027 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Guwahati ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Which players should I watch in India vs Australia?
Ravindra Jadeja for India (gives the side a fifth bowler) and Mitchell Starc for Australia (hits the deck hard). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.