Australia tour of India, 2027, match 4 of 5
India vs Australia 4th Test prediction
Who we back, how the pitch should play, projected scores phase by phase, and three bets from safe to long shot.
68%India
32%Australia
Quick overview
- Our pick: India to win, a 68% chance in our model.
- Conditions at JSCA International Stadium Complex: A fair contest between bat and ball, so session scores should sit close to the format average.
- Series momentum: A win here would leave India in control, with 1 match still to come.
- Safest bet: India (Match winner), about a 68% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
Malik Mumbai backs India to beat Australia in the 4th Test at JSCA International Stadium Complex, rating their chances at 68%. We expect India to make around 281 and Australia around 266 on a pitch that helps neither side. Play starts Sun, 21 Feb 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- India, 68%
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at JSCA International Stadium Complex
A fair contest between bat and ball, so session scores should sit close to the format average. Neither attack gets special help here.
Helps Even
Series momentum
A win here would leave India in control, with 1 match still to come.
Helps India
Batting depth
We project India to score about 15 runs more than their opponents. Over a full Test, that is a meaningful cushion, and it is the main reason India are favourites.
Helps India
What will India and Australia score?
How we expect each day to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at JSCA International Stadium Complex.
India Australia
- Session 1
- IND84-98AUS76-90
- Session 2
- IND95-111AUS92-108
- Session 3
- IND80-94AUS76-90
Day-one scoreIND 259-303/AUS 244-288
Best bets for IND vs AUS
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 68%
Match winner
India
The most likely result on our numbers. Short odds mean a small return, so size the stake accordingly.
Value
Our chance 60%
India day-one score
Over 267.5 runs
Our projection for India is about 281, comfortably above 267.5, so a quiet start shouldn't sink it.
Long shot
Our chance 23%
Top batter
Virat Kohli (India)
Built for long innings. A top-batter bet pays well when it lands, so keep the stake small.
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- Virat KohliBuilt for long innings89impact
- Jasprit BumrahHits the deck hard87impact
Australia
- Travis HeadBuilt for long innings87impact
- Mitchell MarshGives the side a fifth bowler87impact
Match preview
By this stage of Australia tour of India, 2027, both sides know exactly what the other is trying to do. Home conditions favour India, and our rating includes that edge. We rate India at 68%, weighing team strength, how JSCA International Stadium Complex usually plays and a balanced / dry pitch. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here.
Where the 4th Test fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.
The 4th Test is match 4 of 5, played at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi on Sun, 21 Feb 2027.
It comes 10 days after the 3rd Test at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati, so both squads travel to Ranchi in between. The long gap gives both sides time to reset, so form from the last game counts for less.
Next, the 5th Test is 10 days after this one at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.
JSCA International Stadium Complex hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 2nd T20I: India vs West Indies (08 Oct).
- 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium ComplexThis match
- 03 Mar5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium
More cricket predictions
IND vs AUS 4th Test: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win India vs Australia?
Our numbers make India the favourites for the 4th Test: 68% against 32% for Australia, based on team strength, home advantage and conditions at JSCA International Stadium Complex.
What time does the IND vs AUS 4th Test start in India?
The 4th Test is scheduled for Sun, 21 Feb 2027 at 19:30 IST India time, at JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for IND vs AUS?
India to win is the safer option at 68%. The value pick is india day-one score over 267.5 runs at 60%. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Ranchi?
A balanced / dry pitch, by our reading, so expect it to help neither side. That points to day-one scores of about 281 for India and 266 for Australia.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in IND vs AUS?
A coin toss in more ways than one. Neither choice gives a clear edge here. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What happens if it rains during India vs Australia?
Lost time is not made up in full, so rain makes a draw more likely. Bets on the match result still stand, while session markets for overs never bowled are usually void. Check the forecast for Ranchi on the day.
India vs Australia match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se India favourite hain, 68% chance ke saath, aur Australia ka chance 32% hai. Match Sun, 21 Feb 2027 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Ranchi ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Which players should I watch in India vs Australia?
Virat Kohli for India (built for long innings) and Travis Head for Australia (built for long innings). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.