Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027, match 1 of 1
Australia vs England One-off Test prediction
Our pick, what the pitch will do, how the innings should build, and three bets at different risk levels.
57%Australia
43%England
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 57% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Melbourne Cricket Ground: Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers.
- Batting depth: Our projected totals are just 11 runs apart.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 57% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs ENG One-off Test?
Our verdict on Australia vs England: Australia win, with a 57% chance against 43% for England. Melbourne Cricket Ground should help the batters, and we project a day-one score of 269-317 for Australia and 258-306 for England. The One-off Test starts Thu, 11 Mar 2027 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 57%
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Melbourne Cricket Ground
Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers. Boundaries come easily, so a big total is the starting point, not a bonus. It should suit the batters on both sides equally.
Helps Even
Batting depth
Our projected totals are just 11 runs apart. One standout innings is more likely to decide it than overall depth.
Helps Even
The toss
Neither choice at the toss gives much away on a pitch this good for batting.
Helps Even
What will Australia and England score?
How we expect each day to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Australia England
- Session 1
- AUS87-103ENG86-102
- Session 2
- AUS100-118ENG97-115
- Session 3
- AUS82-96ENG75-89
Day-one scoreAUS 269-317/ENG 258-306
Best bets for AUS vs ENG
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 57%
Match winner
Australia
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 61%
Australia day-one score
Over 278.5 runs
With Australia projected near 293, a 278.5 line gives a useful margin for error.
Long shot
Our chance 26%
Top batter
David Warner (Australia)
Built for long innings. This market pays long odds, which is why a small stake makes sense.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- David WarnerBuilt for long innings91impact
- Pat CumminsHits the deck hard90impact
England
- Mark WoodHits the deck hard91impact
- Phil SaltTurns fifties into hundreds92impact
Match preview
Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027 starts here, which means neither side has shown its hand on this tour yet. Neither side is at home, so adapting to the conditions matters more than usual. The 57% rating for Australia comes from team strength, scoring patterns at Melbourne Cricket Ground and a flat / batters surface. The margin is small, so the toss and the first hour matter more than usual. Confirm both XIs at the toss before you stake.
The toss: Neither choice at the toss gives much away on a pitch this good for batting.
Where the One-off Test fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027.
The One-off Test is match 1 of 1, played at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne on Thu, 11 Mar 2027.
It opens the series, so neither side has played the other on this tour yet. Early odds lean on reputation more than on form in these conditions.
Melbourne Cricket Ground hosts 2 other matchs on our calendar: 1st T20I: Australia vs England (21 Nov), 3rd Test: Australia vs New Zealand (29 Dec).
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AUS vs ENG One-off Test: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs England?
Australia, at 57% on our model, with England given 43%. Team strength, home advantage and a flat / batters pitch at Melbourne Cricket Ground all feed into that rating.
What time does the AUS vs ENG One-off Test start in India?
The One-off Test is scheduled for Thu, 11 Mar 2027 at 19:30 IST India time, at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs ENG?
Our safer bet is Australia to win (57%). For better value, we like australia day-one score over 278.5 runs (61%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Melbourne?
It should help the batters: we class the surface as flat / batters for this Test, with Australia projected at 269-317 and England at 258-306.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs ENG?
Neither choice at the toss gives much away on a pitch this good for batting. Expect the toss about 30 minutes before play begins at 19:30 IST, with the XIs named at the same time.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs England?
Rain in a Test makes a draw more likely, because lost overs are rarely recovered in full. Match-result bets stand, but session markets for unbowled overs are usually void. Check the Melbourne forecast on the day.
Australia vs England match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein Australia aage hain: 57% chance, jabki England ka 43% hai. Match Thu, 11 Mar 2027 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Melbourne ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / batters rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Where can I follow Australia vs England live?
Follow the score ball by ball on the Malik Mumbai live scores page. TV and streaming rights vary by country, so check local listings for the broadcast.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.