New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27, match 2 of 4
Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test prediction
The verdict, a pitch read, how each innings should unfold and three bets at rising risk.
55%Australia
45%New Zealand
Quick overview
- Our pick: Australia to win, a 55% chance in our model.
- Conditions at Adelaide Oval: Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers.
- Series momentum: A win here would leave Australia in control, with 2 matches still to come.
- Safest bet: Australia (Match winner), about a 55% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?
Australia are our pick for the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test, at 55%. Expect Australia to score about 282 and New Zealand about 276, with conditions at Adelaide Oval helping the batters. First ball is Sat, 19 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- Australia, 55%
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch helps
- Batters
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at Adelaide Oval
Expect even bounce and little help for the bowlers. Boundaries come easily, so a big total is the starting point, not a bonus. It should suit the batters on both sides equally.
Helps Even
Series momentum
A win here would leave Australia in control, with 2 matches still to come.
Helps Australia
The toss
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Helps Even
What will Australia and New Zealand score?
How we expect each day to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface at Adelaide Oval.
Australia New Zealand
- Session 1
- AUS82-96NZ82-96
- Session 2
- AUS96-114NZ95-111
- Session 3
- AUS81-95NZ77-91
Day-one scoreAUS 259-305/NZ 254-298
Best bets for AUS vs NZ
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 55%
Match winner
Australia
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 58%
Australia day-one score
Over 268.5 runs
We project Australia around 282. A line near 268.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 27%
Top batter
Travis Head (Australia)
Built for long innings. A top-batter bet pays well when it lands, so keep the stake small.
Who can swing Australia vs New Zealand?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- Travis HeadBuilt for long innings82impact
- Pat CumminsHits the deck hard82impact
New Zealand
- Glenn PhillipsBuilt for long innings89impact
- Trent BoultHits the deck hard95impact
Match preview
Match 2 of 4 in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 brings the sides back together. Australia have the home crowd and local knowledge, and we have given them credit for it. We rate Australia at 55%, weighing team strength, how Adelaide Oval usually plays and a flat / batters pitch. The margin is small, so the toss and the first hour matter more than usual. Wait for the team sheets before placing anything.
The toss: The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score.
Where the 2nd Test fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27.
The 2nd Test is match 2 of 4, played at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide on Sat, 19 Dec 2026.
It comes 10 days after the 1st Test at Perth Stadium in Perth, so both squads travel to Adelaide in between. The long gap gives both sides time to reset, so form from the last game counts for less.
Next, the 3rd Test is 10 days after this one at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
Adelaide Oval hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 2nd ODI: Australia vs England (15 Nov).
- 09 Dec1st Test: Australia vs New ZealandPerth Stadium
- 19 Dec2nd Test: Australia vs New ZealandAdelaide OvalThis match
- 29 Dec3rd Test: Australia vs New ZealandMelbourne Cricket Ground
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AUS vs NZ 2nd Test: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs New Zealand?
Australia, at 55% on our model, with New Zealand given 45%. Team strength, home advantage and a flat / batters pitch at Adelaide Oval all feed into that rating.
What time does the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test start in India?
The 2nd Test is scheduled for Sat, 19 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST India time, at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Series dates can move, so confirm on the day.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for AUS vs NZ?
Our safer bet is Australia to win (55%). For better value, we like australia day-one score over 268.5 runs (58%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Adelaide?
It should help the batters: we class the surface as flat / batters for this Test, with Australia projected at 259-305 and New Zealand at 254-298.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in AUS vs NZ?
The toss barely matters. Both captains will back their batters to post or chase a big score. The toss happens about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, and both XIs are named then.
What happens if it rains during Australia vs New Zealand?
Lost time is not made up in full, so rain makes a draw more likely. Bets on the match result still stand, while session markets for overs never bowled are usually void. Check the forecast for Adelaide on the day.
Australia vs New Zealand match kaun jitega?
Malik Mumbai ke model ke hisaab se Australia favourite hain, 55% chance ke saath, aur New Zealand ka chance 45% hai. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Adelaide ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko flat / batters rate karte hain, isliye batters ke liye achha hai aur bada score ban sakta hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Is there home advantage in the 2nd Test?
Yes, Australia are at home. Knowing the ground and the conditions is worth a few percentage points, and it is included in our 55% rating for Australia.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.