Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026, match 2 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 2nd ODI prediction
The verdict, a pitch read, how each innings should unfold and three bets at rising risk.
67%India
33%Sri Lanka
Quick overview
- Our pick: India to win, a 67% chance in our model.
- Conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium: Neither bat nor ball should dominate, so expect phase scores near the usual average for this format.
- The toss: Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
- Safest bet: India (Match winner), about a 67% chance.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm on the day.
Who will win the IND vs SL 2nd ODI?
Our verdict on India vs Sri Lanka: India win, with a 67% chance against 33% for Sri Lanka. M. Chinnaswamy Stadium should help neither side, and we project a first-innings score of 300-350 for India and 284-334 for Sri Lanka. The 2nd ODI starts Wed, 16 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST.
- Our pick
- India, 67%
- Format
- ODI, 50 overs
- Pitch helps
- Balanced
What will decide it
The three things we think will settle this match, and which side each one helps.
Conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium
Neither bat nor ball should dominate, so expect phase scores near the usual average for this format. Neither attack gets special help here.
Helps Even
The toss
Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
Helps Even
Series momentum
4 games remain after this, so a win would give India the upper hand in the series.
Helps India
What will India and Sri Lanka score?
How we expect each innings to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium.
India Sri Lanka
- Powerplay (0-10)
- IND47-59SL43-55
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- IND167-189SL162-184
- Death Overs (41-50)
- IND86-102SL79-95
First-innings scoreIND 300-350/SL 284-334
Best bets for IND vs SL
One match, three risk levels. The safer bet lands most often; the long shot pays most when it does.
Safer
Our chance 67%
Match winner
India
The side we rate most likely to win. Expect a short price and a modest payout.
Value
Our chance 57%
India first-innings score
Over 310.5 runs
We project India around 325. A line near 310.5 leaves room for a slow start and still lands.
Long shot
Our chance 21%
Top batter
Yashasvi Jaiswal (India)
Steady hand in a chase. A top-batter bet pays well when it lands, so keep the stake small.
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Our impact rating is how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- Yashasvi JaiswalSteady hand in a chase92impact
- Mohammed ShamiTrusted at the end of the innings83impact
Sri Lanka
- Matheesha PathiranaTrusted at the end of the innings82impact
- Charith AsalankaFast starter at the top82impact
Match preview
This is match 2 of 6 in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026. India know these grounds well, which is built into our numbers. The 67% rating for India comes from team strength, scoring patterns at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium and a balanced / dry surface. That is a clear lead, though a single big innings can still swing it. Check the playing XIs before you bet.
The toss: Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch.
Where the 2nd ODI fits in the series
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
The 2nd ODI is match 2 of 6, played at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on Wed, 16 Dec 2026.
It comes 3 days after the 1st ODI at Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi, so both squads travel to Bengaluru in between. The gap is long enough for full-strength XIs, so squad rotation should be limited.
Next, the 3rd ODI is 3 days after this one at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.
M. Chinnaswamy Stadium hosts 1 other match on our calendar: 5th T20I: India vs West Indies (17 Oct).
- 13 Dec1st ODI: India vs Sri LankaArun Jaitley Stadium
- 16 Dec2nd ODI: India vs Sri LankaM. Chinnaswamy StadiumThis match
- 19 Dec3rd ODI: India vs Sri LankaNarendra Modi Stadium
More cricket predictions
IND vs SL 2nd ODI: questions fans ask
Quick answers to what readers ask us most.
Who is favourite to win India vs Sri Lanka?
India, at 67% on our model, with Sri Lanka given 33%. Team strength, home advantage and a balanced / dry pitch at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium all feed into that rating.
What time does the IND vs SL 2nd ODI start in India?
Play is set to start Wed, 16 Dec 2026 at 19:30 IST (India time) at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. Confirm on the day in case the schedule moves.
What is Malik Mumbai's best bet for IND vs SL?
Our safer bet is India to win (67%). For better value, we like india first-innings score over 310.5 runs (57%). Only stake what you can afford to lose.
What is the pitch like in Bengaluru?
We rate the M. Chinnaswamy Stadium surface balanced / dry for this ODI, which should help neither side. Our projected first-innings scores are 300-350 for India and 284-334 for Sri Lanka.
Should the toss winner bat or bowl first in IND vs SL?
Neither batting nor bowling first is a clear advantage on this pitch. The coin goes up roughly half an hour before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What happens if it rains during India vs Sri Lanka?
Lost overs mean a DLS target; if the minimum overs can't be played, the match is a no-result. Which bets stand or are void depends on each site's rules. Check the Bengaluru forecast before you bet.
India vs Sri Lanka match kaun jitega?
Hamare model mein India aage hain: 67% chance, jabki Sri Lanka ka 33% hai. Match Wed, 16 Dec 2026 ko 19:30 IST par shuru hoga. Yeh sirf prediction hai, guarantee nahi.
Bengaluru ki pitch report kya hai?
Hum is pitch ko balanced / dry rate karte hain, isliye bat aur ball dono ke liye barabar hai. Toss aur playing XI ka faisla match se lagbhag 30 minute pehle hota hai.
Is it legal to bet on IND vs SL in India?
Not for real money online. India's Online Gaming Act 2025 bans online money games, including betting, along with their advertising and payment processing. Our legal guide explains what is still allowed. This is not legal advice, and you must be 18 or over.
Still unsure? Ask our team
Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Malik Mumbai's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a limit before you play and bet responsibly.